Manmohan fears economic despair to expand due to CAA, COVID-19


New Delhi, Mar 6 (IANS): Former Prime Minister Manmohan Singh on Friday said the country has becomes a majoritarian state in economic despair expressing concern over the possibility of coronavirus causing further decline in the economic growth and called for the need of the government to put together a detailed and meticulous plan to boost consumption demand and revive the economy.

"India faces imminent danger from the trinity of social disharmony, economic slowdown and a global health epidemic. Social unrest and economic ruin are self-inflicted while the health contagion of COVID-19 disease, caused by the novel coronavirus, is an external shock. I deeply worry that this potent combination of risks may not only rupture the soul of India but also diminish our global standing as an economic and democratic power in the world," wrote the former Prime Minister in a national daily column published on Friday.

He said that while crisis due to coronavirus (COVID-19) was an external shock for the country, the riots in Delhi and worsening economy were self-inflicted injuries he expressed in an article.

As part of reforms, the government should put together a detailed and meticulous fiscal stimulus plan to boost consumption demand and revive the economy he opinionated.

In the column, the former PM wrote that social unrest will only worsen the economic slowdown in the country. Calling social disharmony and economic slowdown, self-inflicted wounds, he also pointed to the threat posed by COVID-19 epidemic.

Regardless of whether this virus will enter our shores on a large scale or not, it is now evident that the economic impact of COVID-19 will be very big. International bodies such as the World Bank and the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) have already pronounced a sharp slowdown in global economic growth. There are reports that China's economy may even contract, which, if it happens, will be the first time since the Cultural Revolution of the 1970s. China today accounts for nearly a fifth of the global economy and a tenth of India's external trade. The forecast for the world economy is quite dire.

This is sure to impact India's economic situation too. Millions of small and medium businesses in India that account for more than three-quarters of all formal employment are part of the global supply chain. In such an integrated global economy, the COVID-19 crisis can further slow India's GDP growth by half to one percentage point, other things being constant. India's economic growth was already tepid and this external health shock is bound to make things much worse , he wrote.

Referring to the social unrest due to CAA resulting in lesser investment for India, he wrote "At a time when our economy is floundering, the impact of such social unrest will only exacerbate the economic slowdown. It is now well accepted that the scourge of India's economy currently is the lack of new investment by the private sector. Investors, industrialists and entrepreneurs are unwilling to undertake new projects and have lost their risk appetite. Social disruptions and communal tensions only compound their fears and risk aversion.

"Social harmony, the bedrock of economic development, is now under peril. No amount of tweaking of tax rates, showering of corporate incentives or goading will propel Indian or foreign businesses to invest, when the risk of eruption of sudden violence in one's neighbourhood looms large. Lack of investment means lack of jobs and incomes, which, in turn, means lack of consumption and demand in the economy. A lack of demand will only further suppress private investments. This is the vicious cycle that our economy is stuck in", the post read.

He said that India needs to be prepared to deal with Covid-19 regardless of the magnitude of the impact and must brace itself for the economic shock emanating from it. He listed out a three-point plan for the Narendra Modi government to deal with various sorts of crisis prevailing in the nation. He said that first and foremost the nation must prepare itself to deal with COVID-19. Second, the government must either withdraw or amend the Citizenship Amendment Act and end the toxic social climate in the nation. And lastly, the government needs to put together a detailed and meticulous plan to boost consumption demand and revive the economy.

He recalled the crisis of 1991 when the nation faced economic slowdown due to balance of payments and the rising oil prices due ti the Gulf war. He said that people at the helm then were able to turn the crisis into an opportunity by bringing in drastic reforms to revive the economy.

He said that he did not want to spread panic but it was his duty to speak the truth. He said the situation in the country was grim and the India that all of us knew and cherished was slipping away.

  

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Comment on this article

  • Vinod, Mangalore

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    Sir, If so, who is responsible for such slip? It is no other than ex- pm Mr. Manmohan Sigh and his the then Ministers. No point now to criticise present Govt. Nation will not pardon such people and they should get lost from politics. You are no more choice of country. Better remain away from any politics and save country.

    DisAgree [21] Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • Pacific Heights, Mangalore

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    I just wonder did he spoke even half the words in 10 yrs of power that he is uttering now. After allowing all the loot under his nose he is feeling heavy hearted. What a joke sardarji.

    DisAgree [15] Agree [4] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sangram Sangam, Kundapur

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    I am so happy he is started to SPEAK at least now.
    Most looted,corruption on peek and highest scam happened after 1947 in his period
    And more importantly First Remote Controlled PM of India.
    But still we can excuse above all thing but we cantexcuse for, when Mumbai terrorist attacked and more than 200 innocent killed,He and his team keep quiet.That is hurt true Indians badly.

    DisAgree [12] Agree [4] Reply Report Abuse

  • geoffrey, hat hill

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    Update yourself Sir, Dr Singh has been nominated to the Parliamentary affairs committee on Finance in November, last year.

    DisAgree [2] Agree Reply Report Abuse

  • Confucius, China

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    Manmohan sir, chaiwalla does not listen to even his own conscience, so you can forget about he listening to you or any other eminent economists...he only listens to sound of nagpur dogla chaddis fluttering in the wind...

    DisAgree [4] Agree [19] Reply Report Abuse

  • moshu, mangaluru

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    Whatever he predicted earlier since 4-5 years over economy comes true . Hope this time he wont.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [7] Reply Report Abuse

  • facttalks, india

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    Sirji As a common man all we have to do is just listen and follow the masters. If you are sick and very sick you will follow the doctors prescriptions . India is in ICU already bec of mudibjp ideologies of caste and religions in a country which was formed of many states . Even the british kept these states secular for decades but our politicians like mudi are ruining it .

    DisAgree [4] Agree [10] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sahil, Mangaluru

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    BJP wasted first 5 to 6 years precious time to just blame congress. Instead of concentrating real agenda also time waste done behind horse trading unnecessary election rally and World tour. Hope Corona virus will stop his further tour.

    DisAgree [4] Agree [20] Reply Report Abuse

  • Avinash, Mangalore

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    Sir, Its all over for the Congress nationwide. No one is going to listen to you any more. Better join some 'old age home' and rest.

    DisAgree [37] Agree [4] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sahil, Mangaluru

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    BJP wasted first 5 to 6 years precious time to just blame congress. Instead of concentrating real agenda also time waste done behind horse trading unnecessary election rally and World tour. Hope Corona virus will stop his further tour.

    DisAgree [3] Agree [22] Reply Report Abuse

  • Avinash, Mangalore

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    Sahil, Mangaluru .
    Wasted? How? BJP was re-elected by a huge margin . Your Hero was booted out of his home constituency in Amethi by a lady and then he had to flee to Wayanad kerala to win on Muslim votes.
    Travel is necessary for diplomacy and relationshhip .YOu see how Pak is today isolated. Cornoa virus can come to you as well. So like RaGa said, look at the world NOT from your position , but look at the world from your position.

    DisAgree [11] Agree [4] Reply Report Abuse

  • Deshbhakht, Mangalore

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    Avinaash,

    Let's think this did not come from the former PM. Forget his name. You tell me, how strong is Indian economy ? Whether Congress is eliminated, surviving or perished, please explain how BJP government contributed to uplifting the finances from where Congress left ?

    Can you ? Please ?

    DisAgree [2] Agree [17] Reply Report Abuse

  • Save my India, India.

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    Deshbhakth,
    No body from BJP can ever answer your question.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • Mukesh Attavar, Mangalore

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    Unfortunately for Dr. Manmohan Singh, if he had not allowed all the scams during his rule, people would be listening to him today.

    DisAgree [20] Agree [6] Reply Report Abuse

  • Deshbhakht, Mangalore

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    Does that mean, there weren't any scams since 2014 ? That the loud mouth PM has stopped every wrong-doing in the country ? That the youth are happy because so many jobs are available to chose from ? That the economy is upwards beating all top countries in the world ?

    DisAgree [3] Agree [12] Reply Report Abuse

  • Mukesh Attavar, Mangalore

    Fri, Mar 06 2020

    No its any time better than pre 2014, No scams, the Bank looters for the Cong regime have fled India after their rear ends were tightened. If not they would not have been voted again in 2019 and I believe it will be same Govt in 2024. RaGa had to run away to Wayanad and contest from a Muslim majority constituency to win so his name survives.

    DisAgree [6] Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse


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