Next quarters may see negative growth too, recession on: Chidambaram


New Delhi, Nov 13 (IANS): With the RBI predicting the quarterly economic growth rate is expected to decline by 8.6 per cent, senior Congress leader P. Chidambaram on Thursday said that the remaining quarters of the fiscal may record "negative growth" and that for the first time since data was recorded methodically, the Indian economy has gone into a recession, as defined by economists.

Addressing a press conference, the former Finance Minister said: "There is nothing to be pleased about these rates. These rates mean that we are still unable to catch up with even the tepid growth rates recorded in 2019-20. I am afraid the remaining quarters of 2020-21 will also record negative growth rates."

Chidambaram said that since these rates are calculated y-o-y, it must be remembered that in Q1 of 2019-20, the growth rate was 5.2 per cent and in Q1 of 2020-21, it was (-)23.9 per cent. Similarly, in Q2 of 2019-2O, the growth rate was 4.4 per cent and in Q2 of 2020-21, it is expected to be (-) 8.6 per cent.

"It is therefore surprising that the Finance Minister should quote the RBI as predicting that the economy will register a positive growth rate in the third quarter. Nearly one and a half months of the third quarter are already over and there are no signs that the growth rate will turn positive in the third quarter," he said.

The Congress leader said that his party has repeatedly emphasised the steps that need to be taken to revive the economy, and that as farmers must get fair and remunerative prices for their produce as only a small fraction get MSP and the very poor are outside the formal economy.

"There are millions who have lost their jobs and livelihoods. Unless money is put in their hands, they will not be able to contribute to the revival of demand and the consequent revival of the economy. It is absolutely necessary that a scheme like NYAY must be implemented," Chidambaram said

The Congress leader alleged that as far as the formal economy is concerned, the government has done nothing to bring back the jobs that were lost or to create new jobs.

Noting that the unemployment rate on November 11 stood at 6.4 per cent, he said that it is feared that state governments will cut their capital expenditure by nearly Rs 2.7 lakh crore. "That is about one-half of the budgeted capital expenditure by the states. The Centre is starving the state governments of funds and doling out measly sums of money."

Congress leader Rahul Gandhi too, citing RBI data, attacked the government.

"India has entered into recession for the first time in history. Mr Modi's actions have turned India's strength into its weakness," he said in a tweet.

 

  

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Comment on this article

  • Arthur, Mangalore

    Fri, Nov 13 2020

    India gave zero to the world. Modi will give India less than zero economic growth.

    DisAgree Agree Reply Report Abuse

  • Maria Sequiera, Shirva - Udupi

    Fri, Nov 13 2020

    My neighbour Pedro told this to me last week. You can ask Gonkra, he is the witness.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • Maria Sequiera, Shirva - Udupi

    Fri, Nov 13 2020

    The advocate turned so-called Economist may again consider growing cabbages worth millions in his balcony to boost the GDP.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • R.L., Udupi/USA

    Fri, Nov 13 2020

    Modiji don’t want to keep intelligent people in his cabinet he scares that he may loose his popularity.

    DisAgree [3] Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • Balram Yadav, Varanasi

    Fri, Nov 13 2020

    Is that why all the foolish Indians are voting for him left right and center?

    DisAgree Agree Reply Report Abuse

  • j.anata, Mangaluru / Bengaluru

    Fri, Nov 13 2020

    When Corruption King Chidu was in power, he did not do anything to reviving economy, he only concentrated on securing business for himself and son and family, indulged in various scams, and when he lost power straight went to Tihar Jail. Now he's trying to become Chalta Firtha Economist and giving free lectures

    DisAgree [5] Agree [5] Reply Report Abuse

  • Deshbhakt, Mangalore

    Fri, Nov 13 2020

    Reviving economy ? When ? During the FM'ship of PC, did you anytime see -23% GDP ???

    What reviving economy are you talking about ?
    Did you pay 80+ for petrol ? Did you see joblessness to today's percentage or industries shut down ??

    Please evaluate in similar lines today's FM and then shoot your questions.

    DisAgree [3] Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • j.anata, Mangaluru / Bengaluru

    Fri, Nov 13 2020

    For a Tihar Jailbird, that's my final assessment. He's corruption King, failed politico and his son is still roaming scot-free on bail. Hope Amit Shah takes action on them fast

    DisAgree [1] Agree [1] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Fri, Nov 13 2020

    I wonder why BJP cannot find a qualified Economist ...

    DisAgree [3] Agree [4] Reply Report Abuse

  • j.anata, Mangaluru / Bengaluru

    Fri, Nov 13 2020

    Noted your absence during K'Nataka Bye Poll and Bihar results on this forum!

    DisAgree [2] Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • Dinesh, Dubai

    Fri, Nov 13 2020

    Do you mean people are voting for best economists?

    DisAgree Agree Reply Report Abuse


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