RBI should let rupee appreciate to reduce imported inflation: SBI Ecowrap report


New Delhi, Nov 26 (IANS): The Reserve Bank should let the rupee appreciate to reduce imported inflation, a SBI Ecowrap report said on Wednesday.

According to the report, the US dollar is expected to remain weak due to fragile US economic conditions.

"It would do no harm for the RBI to lean with the wind and let the rupee appreciate which would reduce imported inflation when metal prices are rising, and clear the liquidity overhang to some extent," it said.

"In fact, the large supply of dollars will ensure that rupee will not appreciate significantly from the current levels and this could potentially play to the advantage of the RBI even if it takes a hands off approach to rupee appreciation for the time being."

As per the report, data from 1968 shows that the dollar index has performed well under the Republican regime vis-a-vis the Democratic regime and thus US election results have led to significantly improved capital inflows in emerging markets, including India.

In fact, India has already witnessed record inflows of $18 billion so far this fiscal.

"Interestingly, in the merchant market (in both spot and forward segment) there was an excess supply of $40 billion during Apr'20- Sep'20 (till 18th)," the report said.

"However in the interbank market, the trend is quite opposite and there has been excess demand of $27 billion in the same period and this must have increased significantly by now."

Besides, the report pointed out that overall, merchant dollar supply is far higher than demand as they anticipate a stronger rupee and hence may be holding to a long position in dollars, without even adequate hedging.

"This is being balanced by excess dollar demand in the interbank market, but the net effect is a large supply of dollars," the report said.

  

Top Stories


Leave a Comment

Title: RBI should let rupee appreciate to reduce imported inflation: SBI Ecowrap report



You have 2000 characters left.

Disclaimer:

Please write your correct name and email address. Kindly do not post any personal, abusive, defamatory, infringing, obscene, indecent, discriminatory or unlawful or similar comments. Daijiworld.com will not be responsible for any defamatory message posted under this article.

Please note that sending false messages to insult, defame, intimidate, mislead or deceive people or to intentionally cause public disorder is punishable under law. It is obligatory on Daijiworld to provide the IP address and other details of senders of such comments, to the authority concerned upon request.

Hence, sending offensive comments using daijiworld will be purely at your own risk, and in no way will Daijiworld.com be held responsible.