Daijiworld Media Network – Tel Aviv

Tel Aviv, Apr 17: Speculation is emerging in Israeli strategic circles over which country could replace Iran as Israel’s primary regional adversary, with some analysts pointing to Turkey and Pakistan as possible contenders.

In an opinion piece published in Maariv, Israeli analyst Boaz Golani argued that the Middle East is undergoing “shifting sands” as discussions grow around the potential end of the current conflict involving Iran.

Golani suggested that as Iran’s regional position weakens due to prolonged confrontation and economic pressures, another state may emerge to occupy its role in Israel’s strategic threat perception.

He wrote that under Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran had spent decades positioning itself as Israel’s principal adversary, but recent developments have significantly reduced its military capabilities, according to his assessment.

The article claims that the emerging competition for this geopolitical role appears to be between Turkey and Pakistan, describing both as large Sunni-majority nations with significant military strength and complex regional alignments.

Golani further argued that Israel should prepare for the possibility that one of these countries could become a primary strategic challenger once tensions with Iran subside, although he noted that the outcome is not predetermined.

The commentary comes amid heightened tensions between Israel and Turkey over the Gaza conflict and regional influence in Syria. Recent exchanges between leaders have reflected growing diplomatic strain.

Pakistan has also drawn attention in regional discussions due to its vocal criticism of Israel during the conflict and its involvement in international mediation efforts involving Iran.

However, the views expressed in the opinion piece represent the author’s assessment and not an official government position.