Moody's cut India's GDP forecast to (-)3.1% for 2020


New Delhi, Jun 22 (IANS): Global ratings agency Moody's Investor Services on Monday reduced its calender year 2020 economic growth forecast for India to (-)3.1 per cent, from its earlier projection of (+)0.2 per cent.

It said that effects of lockdowns on Q2 activity will be larger than previously thought.

"Incoming data show the extent of coronavirus-related disruption in Q1 and Q2," a report by Moody's Investor Services said.

"As a result, we have revised down our 2020 growth forecasts for Germany (Aaa stable), France (Aa2 stable), Italy (Baa3 stable), the UK (Aa2 negative), Canada (Aaa stable), Brazil (Ba2 stable), India (Baa3 negative), Indonesia (Baa2 stable), Saudi Arabia (A1 negative) and Argentina (Ca negative)."

The ratings agency predicted a rise in real GDP growth to 6.9 per cent for 2021.

On June 1, the credit ratings agency downgraded India's sovereign ratings as it saw challenges being piled upon the country's policymaking institutions to mitigate the risks of a sustained period of relatively low growth.

Besides, Moody's said the Covid-19 pandemic amplified vulnerabilities in India's credit profile such as slower growth relative to the country's potential, rising debt and further weakening of debt affordability and persistent stress in parts of the financial system.

Consequently, Moody's downgraded India's foreign-currency and local-currency long-term issuer ratings to Baa3 from Baa2.

It also downgraded India's local-currency senior unsecured rating to Baa3 from Baa2, and its short-term local-currency rating to P-3 from P-2.

Furthermore, it kept the outlook as negative. Currently, the sovereign rating assigned to India is Baa3 with a negative outlook.

  

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Comment on this article

  • prem, moodbidri

    Tue, Jun 23 2020

    Uninstall anti-nesanal Moody !!!

    DisAgree [1] Agree [4] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sanjeev Kamath, Udupi

    Mon, Jun 22 2020

    Congratulations!!
    Moody's are REINVENTING the wheel!!
    Who cares?? The world knows who we are.
    Paradoxically, Standard & Poor said, okay to stay, India is fine!!!

    DisAgree [19] Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • John, Mangalore

    Mon, Jun 22 2020

    How godless communist Chinese ruined the world economy...

    DisAgree [7] Agree [13] Reply Report Abuse

  • Shamsuddin, Dubai

    Mon, Jun 22 2020

    Modi is the distinguished economist from Cambridge university.
    Manmohan Singh is the chaiwalla from Ahmedabad railway station.
    Hope bhakaths are happy now....

    DisAgree [4] Agree [34] Reply Report Abuse

  • Deshbhakht, Mangalore

    Mon, Jun 22 2020

    This morning, when discussion were going on about MMS building the economy and NaMo destroying it, a BJP supporter said this :

    Quote
    Rajesh, MangaloreMon, Jun 22 2020
    Giving importance only to GDP is foolish. We have to build a nation where we can breath clean Air, clean water, enough physical spaces and have enough natural resources for the next generation.
    Unquote


    Why institutions like Moody are in the world ? Shoo them away ! We will eat/wear/live in the air, water, space and natural resources.
    Jai Hind !

    DisAgree [2] Agree [22] Reply Report Abuse

  • Chandu, Karla

    Tue, Jun 23 2020

    Yes, you said it all right Sir. We will live without chaddies.....that's where we are going back now...may be our bhailghadees will be back on the roads soon...

    DisAgree Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • Veer, Nagpur

    Mon, Jun 22 2020

    No wonder Nepal is showing Red Eyes to us. Modi's eyes have become squinted.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [25] Reply Report Abuse

  • geoffrey, hat hill

    Mon, Jun 22 2020

    Forget Moodi. As per Amit Shah we'll still be '5 MILLION TON' economy.

    DisAgree [2] Agree [26] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Mon, Jun 22 2020

    Next time please vote for the Educated ...

    DisAgree [2] Agree [36] Reply Report Abuse

  • myna, mysuru

    Mon, Jun 22 2020

    At last from 9.50% GDP growth of Dr Manmohan Singh has been brought down to (-)3.1% by Moody's forecast for India's GDP in just six years of Mr Narendra Modi's government. WHAT AN ACHIEVEMENT???

    DisAgree [1] Agree [38] Reply Report Abuse


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