Economic Survey Positive on Economy, Worried about Price Rise


NEW DELHI, Feb 25 (PTI): Enthused by reforms and the strong fundamentals, the Economic Survey on Thursday predicted that India would bounce back to a high nine per cent growth in 2011-12 on the way to becoming world's fastest growing economy in four years.

The document, which assesses the state of the economy, warned that high food prices would rise further over next few months and criticized the food management policies that have led to "unacceptably" high prices of items like sugar.

Food inflation is at present hovering close to 18 per cent.

The pre-budget Economic Survey (2009-10), presented by finance minister Pranab Mukherjee in Parliament, also recommended a "gradual rollback" of stimulus measures after assessing the impact on each sector.

Projecting the economic growth to touch up to 8.75 per cent in 2010-11 and nine per cent in the next year, the survey said: "It is entirely possible for India to move into the rarefied domain of double digit growth and even attempt to don the mantle" of the fastest growing economy in the world within the next four years.

It, however, expressed concern over rising prices, saying that a major concern during 2009-10 was the emergence of high double digit food inflation.

In a direct criticism of the government, particularly over the very high consumer price inflation, the survey said that the "hype" over kharif crop failure without taking into account the comfortable food stocks and rabi prospects "may have exacerbated inflationary expectations encouraging hoarding and resulting in a higher inflation in food items.

"... in the case of sugar, delay in the market release of imported raw sugar may have contributed to the overall uncertainty, thereby allowing prices to rise to unacceptably high levels in recent months," it added.

The survey said that "since December 2009, there have been signs of these high food prices, together with the gradual hardening of non-administered fuel product prices, getting transmitted to other non-food items, thus creating some concerns about higher than anticipated generalised inflation over the next few months."

Referring to projection of 7.2 per cent growth of the economy in 2009-10, the survey said, "The fast-paced recovery of the economy underscores the effectiveness of the policy response of the government in the wake of the financial crisis."

The board-based recovery, it added, "Creates scope for a gradual rollback, in due course of some of the measures undertaken over the last 15 to 18 months, as part of the policy response to the global slowdown."

These initiatives, it added, were also necessary for pushing the economy back on the growth path of 9 per cent, the rate at which the economy was expanding before the global crisis hit the world.

  

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Comment on this article

  • Joseph F. Gonsalves, Bannur, Puttur/ Mangalore

    Thu, Feb 25 2010

    See the purchasing power parity of the nations and if singled out European nations we are the fourth largest economy in the world whereas if we include European Union, we stand 5th largest economy. Is it because of bjp? If bjp was ruling for even 15 years we would have been ceased as a single nation and might have been witnessing divided on caste and religion based nations. Bjp, as a political party and the fundamental organizations have done considerable damage to society by poisoning the minds of the citizens of this country. The Congress as a whole had a wonderful leadership under Late Prime Ministers Nehruji, Indiraji, Rajivji, Narsimha Raoji, and now our beloved humble P.M., Dr. Manmohan Singhji, we are witnessing considerable economic growth. Nehruji had passed critical period to pay 50 crores of rupees to Pakistan directed by M.K Gandhiji. Below is the purchasing power of the world nations as per the year ending 2009 in Million Dollars.

    A – EUROPEAN UNION - $M - 14,520,000

    1) UNITED STATES OF AMERICA - $M 14,250,000
    2) CHINA – $M - 8,767,000
    3) JAPAN – $M - 4,141,000
    4) INDIA –$M - 3,548,000
    5) GERMANY – $M - 2,812,000
    6) UNITED KINGDOM – $M -2,165,000
    7) FRANCE – $M - 2,113,000
    8) RUSSIA – $M - 2,103,00
    9) BRAZIL – $M - 2,024,000
    10) ITALY - $M 1,756,000

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  • ISMAIL K PERINJE, PERINJE/YANBU-KSA

    Thu, Feb 25 2010

    It is very good and promising news to all Indians and to be proud of that.In two decades India has transformed itself from a state-dominated economy to an increasingly open market,with all the risks that entails,now as a rival to China.

    India's every move is in the spot light as it's growth helps to drive world recovery. All most all developing countries looks towards India and China to study the our model of growth.  Our planners should concentrate on infrastructure development which is backbone for the devolopment(Power generation,Transport network ect)  Thanks to PM Manamohan singh who was and is JANAKA of all these makings.

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  • Peter, Brahmavar/Sharjah

    Thu, Feb 25 2010

    "MERA BHARAT MAHAN" DREAM OF LATE PRIME MINISTER RAJIV GANDHI WILL COME TRUE.

    DisAgree Agree Reply Report Abuse


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