C-Voter survey shows Congress still in lead in Karnataka


New Delhi, May 6 (IANS): The final opinion poll for the Karnataka Assembly elections conducted by C-Voter for ABP News indicates that the Congress is still in the pole position though the BJP seems to have closed the earlier gap in the last leg of campaigning.

A detailed analysis of the poll data across demographics and other categories in the major regions of the state suggests that the Congress is likely to win between 110 and 122 seats in the May 10 elections. The Karnataka Assembly has 224 members and a tally of 113 is required to form a simple majority government.

The party is projected to get 40.2 per cent of the vote share, up 2.2 per cent from what it managed in the previous Assembly elections in 2018. The BJP, which currently has a government in the state, is projected to win between 73 and 85 seats. In 2018, the saffron party had won 104 seats.

Interestingly, BJP's vote share is projected to remain the same at 36 per cent. Compared to the earlier rounds of the C-Voter poll, this is an improvement both in terms of seats and vote share.

The JD(S) is projected to win between 21 and 29 seats. In 2018, it had won 37 seats. The projected vote share for the JD(S) in 16.1 per cent, down almost 2 per cent compared to the 2018 elections.

Barring the Greater Bengaluru region, which sends 32 MLAs to the Karnataka Assembly, the Congress is projected to win more seats than the BJP in all the other regions of the state.

Interestingly, the BJP is projected to substantially increase its vote share in the Old Mysuru region, a stronghold of the JD(S), from 17 per cent in 2018 to more than 25 per cent this time.

But this seems to be resulting in a triangular fight which is helping the Congress.

Elections are scheduled in a single phase on May 10 and the results will be declared on May 13.

 

 

 

 

  

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Comment on this article

  • KS Mayya, Mangalore/Bangalore

    Sun, May 07 2023

    Thank God, for this survey....India's destiny will forever be in the whims and fancies of minority in the name of a sham called secularism at the expense of democracy. I do not agree with the survey because they have been consistent with their prediction in the past. I hope they stay so.

    DisAgree [6] Agree Reply Report Abuse

  • John, Mangalore

    Sun, May 07 2023

    180 - 190 seats for congress

    DisAgree [3] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • Eustace, Mumbai

    Sun, May 07 2023

    See what happened in Goa. Trust, no Christian gets elected to MLA seat. They are very corrupt, as proved twice in Goa. No, oath or Church banishment works with these people

    DisAgree [1] Agree [1] Reply Report Abuse

  • Msaff, Thokkotu chombu gudde

    Sun, May 07 2023

    May god bless to Congress All Karnataka people please think and vote Dont leave our Karnataka with gujju hands they will sell us tooo In Karnataka all good educated people are there, dont fall to BJP traps Please be careful and see the situations of india Don’t vote for BJP Vote other parties but not BJP anymore

    DisAgree [5] Agree [15] Reply Report Abuse

  • Rohit Kumar Shetty, Mangalore

    Sun, May 07 2023

    As per KEMCI, BJP 59, Congress 141, JDS 16, OTHERS 8.

    DisAgree [4] Agree [24] Reply Report Abuse

  • Langoolacharya., Belman / Washington, DC.

    Sun, May 07 2023

    And Credit goes to Ehwarappa and his 40 % Brigade... What Kota S Poojary will do then???...Go back to his old profession of Black / White Photography ???.... Taak...Takk...

    DisAgree [3] Agree [12] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sheikh, Mumbai

    Sun, May 07 2023

    Double engine completely failure no development has been taken by current government when congress was in power completed Kokan railway project in 7 years modi favorite project bullet train was initiated in 2014 still not reached from Ahmadabad to Mumbai only congress can do development in India

    DisAgree [14] Agree [33] Reply Report Abuse

  • Lenny Pais, Mangalore

    Sun, May 07 2023

    Congress leading , and BJP closing in. Other parties in fray as well. Then for sure, its no majority for either and a hung assembly. Advantage JDS. Once again we have to put up with the Gowda family for the next (?) year or years.

    DisAgree [4] Agree [18] Reply Report Abuse

  • Simon, Mangalore

    Sun, May 07 2023

    If C voter has to be believed then sorry, its HDK Govt for sure. Congress- JDS combo .

    DisAgree [10] Agree [10] Reply Report Abuse

  • Vijay Benedict, Mangalore

    Sun, May 07 2023

    Lead , but without a majority. Hung assembly. So it will be an alliance with JDS ruling and Mr. HDK as the CM.

    DisAgree [11] Agree [9] Reply Report Abuse

  • Monty Dotor, Mangalore

    Sun, May 07 2023

    Congress or BJP in lead, JD will not be king maker as their MLAs will defect to the party that will offer more "Mithai "....

    DisAgree [3] Agree [22] Reply Report Abuse

  • real kujuma, kodial

    Sun, May 07 2023

    i also feel it is either congress majority or sajjige bajil govt....with kari idli as cm

    DisAgree [20] Agree [25] Reply Report Abuse

  • Rosh, Mangalore

    Sun, May 07 2023

    Well done Congress. Keep it up. Keep exposing the misdeeds of Modi and his gang. They are not only against minorities but also against weaker castes, farmers, traders and all the non-bjp ruled states. Their target is to handover the entire country to Gujju mafia in exchange for funding the BJP through electoral bonds. Modis ego is so high that he will not hesitate to sell the entire country just to retain his image as a leader. Lies, jumlas, favoritism, discrimination, crminal mindset- all the evils are in his DNA.

    DisAgree [20] Agree [40] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sameer, Riyadh

    Sun, May 07 2023

    If BJ party does not win this time, next upcoming elections they will bring 'Doland' Trump for campaigning and Savarkar from the dead. 🥱🥱🥱. Yaad aaya where is Advani. Margdarshak Mandal 🤣

    DisAgree [22] Agree [41] Reply Report Abuse

  • Clifford, Mangalore

    Sun, May 07 2023

    There are so many international and national events are taking place and Almost whole of central cabinet is camping in Karnataka . If they had run a half decent government with helping Kannadigas and corruption has been a major problem, they didn’t had to camp here.

    DisAgree [9] Agree [32] Reply Report Abuse

  • jb, mlore

    Sun, May 07 2023

    C Voter should come back on 13th and apologise ...

    DisAgree [59] Agree [24] Reply Report Abuse

  • Alwyn, Kudla

    Sat, May 06 2023

    Beauty of congress is well disciplined party without compromise ethics and self respect whereas BJP is literally struggling . Look at Yogi came from UP to help Losers and Amit, then Narendra and god heavenly know how many others are helping? I pray and hope Congress will win in Majority in Karnataka and Delhi too. Too damage has done and not afford the damages on poor anymore. Congress is the only party make everyone live in peace in harmony

    DisAgree [23] Agree [43] Reply Report Abuse

  • Pinto, Mangalore

    Sat, May 06 2023

    Chaddi ki ulti ginthi chalo

    DisAgree [18] Agree [40] Reply Report Abuse

  • Dylan, Mangalore

    Sat, May 06 2023

    Modi will continue Roadshow even after elections.

    DisAgree [23] Agree [121] Reply Report Abuse


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Title: C-Voter survey shows Congress still in lead in Karnataka



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