Is the bubble bursting for India's online startups?


MUMBAI, Nov 23 (Agencies) : Hundreds of layoffs at several Indian startups have sparked fears the bubble is starting to burst for the country's e-commerce companies, amid claims by analysts that many of them are overvalued.

Restaurant search website Zomato, food delivery app TinyOwl and property portal Housing.com are all letting staff go, and experts are warning of echoes of the dotcom boom which crashed spectacularly in 2000.

"The valuation bubble is bursting. The valuations had reached levels where they were ridiculous and could not be justified at any level," said Arvind Singhal, chairman of management consulting firm Technopak.

Wealthy investors boosted by low interest rates have been lining up to lavishly back India's booming startups, with the government hailing the sector as proof of the country's entrepreneurial spirit.

PM Narendra Modi views online startups as key to providing jobs to aspirational young Indians, seeking to fuel the sector through a government campaign, "Start up India, Stand up India."

In September, he visited Silicon Valley calling on deep-pocketed investors to turn their attention to India's thriving startup ecosystem, with large tech hubs in the cities of Bangalore, Hyderabad and Mumbai.

Yet despite the billions of dollars invested in recent years, most of India's online startups are yet to turn profits and investments are largely based on speculative future earnings.

"Investors are not looking objectively at the sector. They are just seeing a few success stories and ignoring the failures, just like they did in the dotcom era," Paras Adenwala, investment consultant at Capital Portfolio Advisors in Mumbai, told AFP.

Adenwala is concerned that once the United States' central bank starts moving on interest rates, as it has long been tipped to do, investors will be less generous with their cash, making the situation worse.

"You will see a lot of these startups falling by the wayside once the US Federal Reserve starts raising rates and funding dries up," he said.

Recent events at TinyOwl, Zomato and Housing.com suggest that not all is well.

There were dramatic scenes at TinyOwl's offices in Pune, in the western Indian state of Maharashtra, earlier this month when disgruntled staff refused to leave the building after losing their jobs.

They also held hostage a member of top management, who laid off 300 employees, preventing him from leaving for two days as they demanded the immediate payment of their severance deals.

TinyOwl co-founder and chief executive Harshvardhan Mandad said the redundancies had been necessary to get the startup on a more sustainable footing.

"This has involved some difficult decisions for us as well, but we believe it's an integral step for the sustainability and growth of the business," Mandad said.

Housing.com recently fired 600 employees, according to widespread reports, and announced there would be a "reorganizing of the company," although it declined to confirm the layoffs.

Zomato, a so-called "unicorn" startup because it is valued at more than $1 billion, is laying off 10% of its 3,000-strong staff worldwide, mostly in the United States.

An official for the New Delhi-headquartered company, which operates in 22 countries, said "the restructuring that led to the redundancies was based on a business call."

"I do not think that the pace of growth has suddenly slowed. Is the market correcting? Perhaps it is, and I guess it's about time that happened as well," added the official, who asked not to be named.

Some signs of consolidation are already evident in the highly competitive market.

Grofers, a "hyperlocal" grocery app that allows customers to order goods from corner shops online, last month made two acquisitions in a week, taking over its shuttered competitor Townrush and meal delivery service SpoonJoy.

And earlier this month Mumbai-based CarTrade, a portal for selling used autos, acquired its rival CarWale for an undisclosed sum.

Singhal, the Technopak chairman, sees the job cuts as part of an inevitable "evolution" of startups, where the early movers lacked well thought-out business models but successors will learn from their mistakes.

"It will encourage new startups with clearer plans," he said.

  

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Comment on this article

  • N.M, Mangalore

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Last years "terror boat' was a 'bubble burst', 15 lakhs was a 'bubble burst', Acche din was a 'bubble burst', vikas was a 'bubble burst', 56 inch was 'bubble burst', swacch Bharat was a 'bubble burst', make in India was a 'bubble burst', skill India was a 'bubble burst'.

    Infact BJP and modi itself is a big bubble waiting to burst.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • Joseph F. Gonsalves, Bannur, Puttur / Mangalore

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Indian economy is in the Doldrums.

    Only the Bhakts and few reporters support wrong survey reports of the economy.

    INDIAN ECONOMY IS A BUBBLE OF SURVEY REPORTS PROMOTIONS.

    WITH THE FALSE SURVEY REPORTS BHAKTS ARE HAPPY

    MITHROUM THAALIYAAAAM......

    DisAgree [1] Agree [7] Reply Report Abuse

  • Bhaskar, Cleveland, Ohio USA

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    This is a worldwide trend, not unique to India. Though India's leaders have tried valiantly to promote the Indian economy with much success, the fact is that the world economy is no longer based on "jobs", but strictly on profits for business owners and corporations. Job creation and maintenance are merely public relations and propaganda throughout many world economies. The fact is that in many countries, college graduates cannot find employment, with unemployment rates as high as 40% for college graduates.

    In the USA, as many as 50% of college graduates are forced to live at home with their parents because they cannot find jobs. The world economy is slowing drastically. many business owners and corporations, in efforts to increase their profits will cut more jobs and seek to increase the value of their companies and their profits by mergers and assorted ponzi schemes and investments. The long term prospects for jobs worldwide is indeed grim. It is likely that the USA and European economies will suffer severe collapses that will affect the job situation in India even more. Those with the most education will adapt best to the looming failures in the world economy.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    We are all waiting for Online Chai ...

    DisAgree [5] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • Declan, Mumbai

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Online beef ?

    DisAgree [5] Agree [6] Reply Report Abuse

  • Rudolf, Mumbai

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Tesla motors was wooed by our govt., but it has reportedly gone to China giving India a miss!!

    What is this 'make in India' slogan when even all major Indian white goos MNCs like Videocon, Onida, Micromax and so many have transferred their manufacturing facilities to China!!

    Can we ever be as disciplined, competitive, be efficient like the Chinese???

    DisAgree [4] Agree [14] Reply Report Abuse

  • Ramesh S, mangalore

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    ..only few starts up survives, all other going to burst..its nothing unusual,its History..its just a hype to mint high returns to investor..even online shopping companies like FLIPKART running on loss..they are just using Investors money to give huge discount, advertise..valuation of the company rise shares zoom..and investors make money..its part of the economy, its works like this in every corner of the world..Dont blame MODI for it..some of brilliant IDEAS & COMPANIES came from start ups, we cant forget that..

    DisAgree [2] Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • Rudolf Rodrigues, Mangalore/Mumbai

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Dotcom bubble is about to burst again, less than 10% of these start ups will survive!!

    DisAgree Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • Juliet mascarenhas, Bejai Mangalore

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Sudheer Mangalore
    Bar girl turned into a politician.
    Waitress/TVs actress to Hr minister.
    Fine. But, chay boy to manage the economy of a country, chances are meek.Meant for sales without results.

    DisAgree [4] Agree [27] Reply Report Abuse

  • Vincent Rodrigues, Promenade Road,Fraze Town,B'lore 560005

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Empty slogans without any action will not lead us anywhere except growth of window dressing.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [18] Reply Report Abuse

  • Amith, udupi

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Deutsche Bank , Barclays and one more bank is in BIG trouble ...about to go bust with more than 6 Billion Loss ...

    DisAgree Agree [10] Reply Report Abuse

  • Dr S Kamath, Mumbai

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Start-ups are known for Fast Rise and Fast Fall.Nothing special about this .This is a common phenomenon.In USA several Start-ups come and go every year

    DisAgree [4] Agree [6] Reply Report Abuse

  • Ravikiran Rai, Kotekar

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Some of such E-commerce online companies belong to those Hindiwala Cheats who defraud the people by fraudulently obtaining our ATM card password. Their Modus operandi is that - after obtaining the ATM card password from the victim, these cheats transfer the funds to these E-commerce company account as if they have purchased some goods in online sale, because withdrawing cash from ATM is not possible without having physical ATM card and transfer of funds to their other Bank account will be traceable by Police and cheats will get caught easily. So to avoid such risk of getting caught the cheats purchase materials from online companies by using the ATM password of the victims.
    Still the cheaters can be caught if only police try. But police never try to catch cheaters in such ATM cheating cases for the reasons not known.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • Ted, Udupi

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Not necessary a bubble but yes a funding freeze for some time.

    DisAgree [6] Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • Lydia Lobo, Kadri

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Funding freeze ? Our PM is touring the world inviting investments, asking them to make in India, signing agreements - what fund freeze ?

    What surprises me is, everything is appearing only in news - nothing to see physically. One year is passed with anticipation, I feel another four too will lapse while we keep waiting for 'Achche Din'

    DisAgree [6] Agree [20] Reply Report Abuse

  • j.anata, Mangaluru / Bengaluru

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Well, the 'wait' for 60 odd years under Dongi Congress, nobody wanted Ache Din, now they want immediately.

    The mess, mud, muck of all these years need to be cleared first. Very evident you don't know economics

    DisAgree [23] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • Lydia Lobo, Kadri

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Ananta,

    Please compare the economy of India in the first fifty years of independence and after that. Compare the growth during Indira/Rajiv's rule with that was before them.

    Consider the finance figure India handles now and that existed during MMS came to handle the affairs.

    Enlighten me, please....

    DisAgree [6] Agree [24] Report Abuse

  • Praveen, Udupi

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Anantha welcome back from your rat-hole. Good to see you back after the great Bihar Debacle. Now you are preaching Economics. Hope you didn't learn Economics from Subramanya Swamy.

    DisAgree [3] Agree [13] Report Abuse

  • Lydia Lobo, Kadri

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Well.. Well... The 'Make in India' concept of India PM seems to be facing a counter clash with the present scenario.

    MMS Government, with an able economist as its head, sustained quite skilfully the recession of Y2K. How will Modi handle the situation with a Law graduate as a finance head ?

    Are our women really going to wear 'Daal ka Haar' as Juliet said yesterday ?

    DisAgree [23] Agree [31] Reply Report Abuse

  • R Mallar, Kasaragod/ Dubai

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    In Y2K NDA was in power! You want to take back the compliment?
    Modi can market the sector. He can't manage your business for God's sake!

    DisAgree [24] Agree [16] Reply Report Abuse

  • Lydia Lobo, Kadri

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Mr. Mallar,

    No disagreement that in Y2K NDA was in power. I do apologize for the error in the period I said the recession covered (Dec. 2007 to June 2009) during which no doubt it was UPA at the helm, who dealt with the problem excellently.

    Hence, take back the compliment ? Never !

    DisAgree [9] Agree [21] Reply Report Abuse

  • Lydia Lobo, Kadri

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Modi cannot run my business ? But he can surely sell the petrol unimaginably higher than it was available during UPA time. This is despite the cost of Crude Oil in UPA time was 120 US$ but now it is just above 40 US$

    So, Modi does not run my business but certainly makes it impossible for me to run !

    DisAgree [7] Agree [20] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sudheer, Mangalore

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Lydia, Your point is MaunMohanSign is better than Modi??? I think you are missing so much big scams and also not able collect foreign money in the name of NGO. We can understand your pain because NDA is lead by bargirl-turned politician Sonia.

    DisAgree [19] Agree [5] Report Abuse

  • Lydia Lobo, Kadri

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Sudheer,

    When MMS graced the PM's chair, he spoke during his trips abroad as a representative of the entire nation. Whereas, Modi goes abroad as RSS Pracharak and badmouths Congress. Well, its been all his big-mouth-opening so far, nothing 'Made in India' is apparent yet. Despite his touring 25 countries in 15 months !

    Scams are not limited to Congress - do you want me to remind you starting from feeding clay-chikki to little children ?

    DisAgree [6] Agree [21] Report Abuse

  • Valerian D'souza, Udupi / Mumbai

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Rosy promises has always been lucrative business, specially among those lazy!
    High rate of interest, Agency chain lined to membership drive business, Tree plantation, 15 lakhs to account from black money, Health and Youth for ever, horse power are some of them!
    Many politicians and spiritual leaders are masters in such claims.
    Many such companies will flourish fast and disappear with investors hard earned money.

    DisAgree [2] Agree [15] Reply Report Abuse

  • Shakeel, Dubai

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Ridiculous to read some comments here.. Online business analysis correctly done by 2 commentators, Roshan, Mangaluru and J. Anata. Online business is not so complex, so there will be new player everyday. Business people should regulate the expenditure.
    Online business is not like IT company offering software for high prices. Online business's end user is Common man, who has to adjusted to new way of business very slowly. Now Flipkart and other selling sites popular, for restaurant and land deals long way to go to change people mindset.

    DisAgree [3] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • j.anata, Mangaluru / Bengaluru

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    The e-commerce companies are destrying themselves by over spend, nothing else. Till date no company is seeing bottom line, but continue to attract investors & the companies continue to blow the investors monies by over killing Advertisement spend, by getting celebrity endorsements etc..

    Simple maths, when your revenue is Rs 10, if you continue to SPEND Rs 100, how long can the company last? Clearly this is indeed a panic situation

    DisAgree [8] Agree [18] Reply Report Abuse

  • Joseph F. Gonsalves, Bannur, Puttur / Mangalore

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Dear j.anata, Mangaluru / Bengaluru
    E-Companies bubble is the effect of Cow Government's Cattle Class Governance.

    India under Chaaiwaala is a Bubble, They are portraying all is well and the economy is in the doldrums. Chaaiwaala P.M., to A.M., is on site seeing world Tours.

    Mithroum thaaliyaaam.....

    Bhakts Paala Huva ...... Na Bharath Ka Na Viedesh Ka.

    DisAgree [8] Agree [20] Reply Report Abuse

  • Roshan, Mangaluru

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Overall worldwide there is a 30percent market space for online business. When there are hundreds of players in the same segment, not all can survive profitably. It is natural that some are going to bleed.

    The business which keeps its overhead costs low, maintain larger geographical connectivity with profit sharing network through existing platforms, have a transparent process overview policy both for vendors and consumers for reliability, is going to sustain.

    In India this is hard to come easily. If you are business is transparent, Income tax officials and tax consultants are going to chew the profit margins.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [23] Reply Report Abuse

  • geoffrey, hat hill

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    It takes much more than empty slogans and 'playing to the gallery'theatrics to achieve results. His trip to the Silicon valley was more like Venku's proverbial trip to Panambur.

    DisAgree [6] Agree [19] Reply Report Abuse

  • Peter, Bangalore

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    Under feku-economics dal is 200 rupees.
    For common man its difficult to prepare food at Home itself , then who is going to order food online ?

    DisAgree [8] Agree [31] Reply Report Abuse

  • Elroy, Karkala

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    In the Last visit Facebook CEO told Modi that he will open a Online Daal portal to sell daal at cheaper rate. Dont wory till then adjust. Accche din aur bhi hain. When congress was there people were crying price hike. Anyways Ramdev ha made his money.

    DisAgree [3] Agree [19] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Mon, Nov 23 2015

    600 days and everything is Tussssss ...

    DisAgree [12] Agree [38] Reply Report Abuse


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