India's FY21 GDP outlook worsens, IMF sees 10.3% contraction


New Delhi, Oct 14 (IANS): With the coronavirus pandemic still to be contained and the central government's stimulus measures having limited impact on economic activities and consumer demand, the outlook for the Indian economy for the current financial year has only worsened.

In its latest global outlook, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that India's GDP will contract by 10.3 per cent in the 2020-21 fiscal. This is a downward revision of its previous estimate of 5.8 per cent.

The outlook for the next financial year (2021-22), however, has improved. The IMF now estimates an 8.8 per cent growth in the country's GDP in FY22, higher than the previous estimate of 2.8 per cent.

Noting that all emerging market and developing economy regions are expected to contract this year, IMF's World Economic Outlook said: "Revisions to the forecast are particularly large for India, where GDP contracted much more severely than expected in the second quarter. As a result, the economy is projected to contract by 10.3 per cent in 2020, before rebounding by 8.8 per cent in 2021."

Global economy is now projected to contract 4.4 per cent in 2020, as per IMF's latest estimate.

In her foreword to the World Economic Outlook, IMF Chief Economist Gita Gopinath noted that preventing further setbacks to the global economy will require that policy support is not prematurely withdrawn.

"The path ahead will require skilful domestic policies that manage trade-offs between lifting near-term activity and addressing medium-term challenges," she said.

 

 

 

 

  

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Comment on this article

  • Pavan, Mlr

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    People are busy with beef hindu muslim ipl bollywood susanth...slowly bangadesh vietnam will take over india...india will go back another 10 years

    DisAgree Agree [5] Reply Report Abuse

  • Ravi, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Just six years of ruling!!!

    DisAgree [1] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • Abdullah Amin, Ullal - Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Only fools would expect any improvement in economy during such a sordid pandemic.

    DisAgree [5] Agree [7] Reply Report Abuse

  • Shameer, Riyadh

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Please keep yourself updated. Whatsapp University?

    The Indian GDP and economy began contracting even before the pandemic.

    DisAgree [2] Agree [12] Reply Report Abuse

  • Observer, Mangaluru

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Only a fool would trust your fake ID.

    DisAgree [3] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • Mario Almeida, Falnir / Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    See the way some of them are rejoicing on GDP contraction, blissfully unaware that it is impacting them directly!
    Thank God, it is Modi and contraction is only 10,30%. Our long term rulers would have zeroised everything!

    DisAgree [11] Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • UMAR, jeddah

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    we want to buy the MLA & MP, country developing is not our agenda, India is poor country in Asia, so that people need to understand, after 4 or 5 year India poorest country in the World.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • Bhavya Baliga, Udupi

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    In India only 3% pay tax and the rest 97% blabber on GDP.

    DisAgree [17] Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • Shameer, Riyadh

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Wrong. Every person pays tax in some form or the other. Income tax is not the only tax. A poor man if he buys a packet of chips or biscuit, he pays tax on it. So he has the right to question and blabber.

    Even Bangladesh is better off now. Bangladesh GDP is mainly dependent on export of textiles/readymade garments to Big brands which sell in UK/US/Canada/Europe.
    Bangladesh exports have taken a leap in recent years.

    India was barely suriviving in the textile, handicrafts, leather and small scale manufacturing. Then Modiji killed it with the masterstroke of demonetization.

    Now we are left at the mercy of 'Act of God'

    DisAgree [2] Agree [20] Reply Report Abuse

  • N.M, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Everyone pays tax whenever they purchase something or the other or avails any service.

    So stop spreading these rumours manufactured in BJP IT Cell Department,

    DisAgree [2] Agree [11] Reply Report Abuse

  • AM, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Bavya- Are you buying any thing or selling without paying tax? Then you are against India.

    DisAgree [3] Agree [9] Reply Report Abuse

  • vikram Rao, Udupi

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Rahul Gandhi has to be right. Do not forget he is a 'GANDHI' He is only born to rule!!

    DisAgree [2] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • Arman, Dubai

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    ALL CREDIT GOES TO MODI BHAKTHS. MODI AUR BHAKTH HAI TO SAB MUMKIN HAI...

    DisAgree [1] Agree [16] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Now only Graduates should be allowed to stand for Elections ...

    DisAgree [5] Agree [26] Reply Report Abuse

  • I wish I was There, Bahrain

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    How about You?

    DisAgree [12] Agree [9] Reply Report Abuse

  • AM, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Govt should not put any effort to revive the economy. Whenever they do something and waste tax payers to revive money it will affect otherwise and reverse the action.

    Better they stay shutup and let the people of India do their work and hardworking people will bounce back. When the growth start back govt should not take any credit for it. They failed in every front to revive economy. We want our burey dhin back, Achhe din we cannot digest

    DisAgree Agree [25] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sunil K, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Since 2014, BJP has created an artificial jump in stock prices - while real economy of the country has tanked.

    As I have said before, education and common-sense are needed in leaders. Unfortunately both Modi and Rahul are equally incompetent.

    DisAgree Agree [24] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sandesh, Dubai / Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Rahul is not the PM of India. Nor he was....

    DisAgree [1] Agree [14] Reply Report Abuse

  • Flavian, Mangaluru/Kuwait

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Talking and blaming is very simple but when faced by responsibilities and surrounded by failures that shows the in-competency of a week and inexperienced governance. Modiji you have spoiled everything. Now what is left to blame ?

    DisAgree Agree [23] Reply Report Abuse

  • Prakash, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Indian GDP worst than Bangladesh. Congress looted Indian public with corruption 60 years, But BJP overtook Congress within 6 years!!!.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [30] Reply Report Abuse

  • Nice, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    .

    Unfortunetly at the end of the day we do not use our Ballots wisely

    .

    DisAgree [1] Agree [23] Reply Report Abuse

  • anil, MP

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Anyhow Bhakts will not understand GDP......

    Clearly visible the diff b/w Uneducated & educated.....

    DisAgree Agree [21] Reply Report Abuse

  • I wish I was There, Bahrain

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    PM Modi, has visited the whole world, but not a single outside investor in India.

    DisAgree Agree [26] Reply Report Abuse

  • Harish Hegde, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Are you serious? They won't risk, for sure they will prefer Bangladesh, Sri lanka, Male where they will be safe and their money will be safe.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [16] Reply Report Abuse

  • Harish Hegde, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Since 2014 rape is gone up and the Economy is gone down... Before voting we had never expected, just wanted to have a change, but what a tragedy everything gone wrong I and many are cursing ourselves now.

    DisAgree Agree [26] Reply Report Abuse

  • CA girishkk, M'lore/dxb

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Hindustani's must at least by now acknowledge and appreciate the contribution by Impeccably intelligent & highly educated Economist PM's contribution...

    After all education matters most...


    Jh
    Jai hind

    DisAgree [1] Agree [27] Reply Report Abuse

  • Flavian, Mangaluru/Kuwait

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    He can fool some people for some time
    but not all the people for all the time
    What else he can offer after all these failures.
    By next election blame Covid 19, China and World economy.
    Congress party and the leaders have already been liquidated.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [24] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sp, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    At least, change the finance minister and rbi governor.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [23] Reply Report Abuse

  • Harish Hegde, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Since 2014 rape is gone up and the Economy is gone down... Before voting we had never expected, just wanted to have a change, but what a tragedy everything gone wrong I and many are cursing ourselves now.

    DisAgree Agree [22] Reply Report Abuse

  • N.M, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Modi has put us in a quagmire and the falling Economy is at a point of no return, Indian Economy WILL NOT revive as long as Modi's BJP is in power and everything we have achieved will fall apart.

    Does Modi have a plan, strategy, and vision?

    The answer is NO.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [33] Reply Report Abuse

  • HENRY MISQUITH, Mumbai

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Bhakts said we will overtake China, But today Bangladesh is overtaking India...

    DisAgree [1] Agree [39] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    We now need a Government with Educated Economists ...

    DisAgree [2] Agree [35] Reply Report Abuse

  • William, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Modi promised many things but delivered ZERO.

    Along with entire country, even blind Bhakts have to totally agree that he disappointed them too.

    In order to avoid further damages he should resign from PM position and later on he can fully concentrate on election rallies only.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [29] Reply Report Abuse

  • Deshbhakt, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    How many trillions was PM Modi foreseeing ?

    So, do Bhakts know the meaning of CONTRACTING ?? Please don't start celebrating thinking that our growth rate will be 10.3% - OK ??

    DisAgree [2] Agree [33] Reply Report Abuse

  • nitin, bangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    GDP is down.
    IIP is down.
    Rural Growth is down.
    Job creation is down.
    Manufacturing sector is down.
    Per Capita Income is down.

    Only Modi's rating are high because rating can be brought with money.

    DisAgree [2] Agree [46] Reply Report Abuse

  • Chetan, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Peacock man hain to mumkin hain.

    DisAgree [2] Agree [37] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jazz, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 14 2020

    Playing with Mor, country will be no more.
    I blame the bhakts, this man is a failure, but it's in the hands of people, still they don't learn their lesson. People are getting poorer, sicker, more hostility towards fellow brethren, still blindly elect this guy for no logical reason at all. I blame you bhakts for the destruction of the nation, you are equally at fault as this man and his party.

    DisAgree Agree [23] Reply Report Abuse


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