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Mangaluru: Contradictory predictions: Will monsoon arrive in time ?

  •   Sat, May 16 2015 08:40:58 AM

Daijiworld Media Network-Mangaluru (RJP)

Mangaluru, May 16: Different weather organisations have presented contradictory seasonal outlook for the monsoon this year.

Monsoon will not be delayed this year, but will grace the coastal region in time, say officials from Indian Meteorological Department in Bengaluru.

Only fear is the region may witness a shortfall of 7 % out of the 832 millimetre normal rain it receives every year between June and September, say the same officials.

As per the prediction of Meteorological department, the monsoon which will reach the Kerala state on May 30 will bring relief in the coastal belt on June 4. Farmers can indulge in their agricultural activities as usual, they anticipate.

Some other predictions

A statement from Srinivas Reddy, Director, Karnataka State Natural Disaster Monitoring Centre (KSNDMC), says that the onset of monsoon in the state will be only after June 10. Also, it will be a weak monsoon period and might affect early sowing activities.He said it would be better to wait for the final outlook till May end or first week of June.

He also said that as per the outlook presented by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), there was 68 per cent probability of the country as a whole receiving below normal rainfall.

Bengaluru-based Centre for Mathematical Modelling and Computer Simulation (C-MMACs) too has predicted that about 70 pc of Karnataka will receive deficient rainfall in June.

The seasonal outlook presented by Noida-based Skymet Weather Services Private Limited, and South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF), Pune, contradicted the IMD and C-MMACs predictions.

Skymet has predicted that there was 60 percent chance of normal rainfall during the entire monsoon period. It has predicted that the onset of monsoon in Karnataka would be much earlier, as early as end of May.

One can only wait and see for the arrival of real monsoon. Meanwhile pre-monsoon showers have been witnessed throughout the state.
  

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Comment on this article

  • Vishal, Mangalore

    Sat, May 16 2015

    We are not cutting down the trees. Rather, we are hacking our legs with our hands. I remember, during my school days, it used to rain cats and dogs for days and nights together without a break and what do we have today? Rains make a guest appearance and dissipate within an hour. The rate at which we are cutting down the trees, my apprehension is that after a few years this beautiful place of ours will resemble a concrete jungle. No greenery will be left and all that we come across will be buildings. Just take a look at our highways. It is painful to see barren land where once an ocean of greenery could be seen. Where are the majestic banyan trees and the other towering trees gone? Our greed has eaten them. They are gone forever. At least now, for the sake of the future generation, let us resolve to plant saplings and nurture them so that our grand children will understand what greenery is.

    DisAgree Agree [7] Reply Report Abuse

  • Nature lover, Udupi

    Sat, May 16 2015

    Cut down all the trees, emit maximum greenhouse gas,burn fossils, do everything to destroy nature and finally expect rains on time,nonsense, expect the worst weather conditions in future..

    DisAgree [3] Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • Kusuma Kumari Chitti, Nellore/Kodyadka

    Sat, May 16 2015

    Most likely I feel Monsoon will start in time My predictions are like this I feel it must come true

    DisAgree [2] Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • HENRY MISQUITH, BAHRAIN

    Sat, May 16 2015

    People are waiting for the season of 'Love' ie. Monsoon!!

    DisAgree [2] Agree [6] Reply Report Abuse

  • richard monis, mangalore

    Sat, May 16 2015

    Kerala gets first monsoon and after one week Karnataka gets the rain. As per the predictions june week end, we are hoping to get good rain.

    DisAgree [3] Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • Vincent Rodrigues, Katapadi/B'lore

    Sat, May 16 2015

    Nowadays these monsoon prediction have become a formality and real prediction will be known only when rain starts.

    DisAgree [3] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • B Prakash Kamath , Mannagudda

    Sat, May 16 2015

    Anonymous, why not send Pappu to ensure Mansoon comes in time. He is already sweting it out to trying his luck to be bak in power. Why take only Gadkari name here. Before Gadkari there was another Congi who said much damaging things to farmers. Giving coments with anonymous tag is act of ....

    DisAgree [14] Agree [6] Reply Report Abuse

  • Anonymous,

    Sat, May 16 2015

    Dear B Prakash Kamath

    We will send Pappua to your fields to do the honors. Happy? Now smile please.

    DisAgree [8] Agree [7] Reply Report Abuse

  • The Guru, Mangalore

    Sat, May 16 2015

    Anonymous,

    First try it in your house to prepare tea or coffee, then use it in farm if you have one.. Then before its used by other sickulars please write a thesis..

    DisAgree [6] Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • yogesh, mumbai

    Sat, May 16 2015

    My grandpa's monsoon predictions having read yearly "panchaanga" and seeing sky much accurate than "postdictions" of Met Dept.they should be cut down to half size across india centres. They useless could not even predict/telecast Tsunami warning when they saw one in thailand on international TV news!!! many lives could have been saved. waste

    DisAgree [1] Agree [10] Reply Report Abuse

  • Anonymous,

    Sat, May 16 2015

    Why to worry if no rain we have Gadkari. We can request him to divert his precious commodity to all the agriculture fields and Buy Coke and Pepsi to drink.

    DisAgree [6] Agree [11] Reply Report Abuse

  • Bryan, Bahrain

    Sat, May 16 2015

    In India the Metoc Department can only predict things after they have happened. They will say Cold rains came, driven sideways through the trees by north winds, and snows followed, this is the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate what will be the effect in the long run...

    DisAgree [4] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • R.Bhandarkar, Mangaluru

    Sat, May 16 2015

    Believe in the predictions of a local astrologer(who does not take money) at least but not of our MET department. They get wrong always.
    take this one for example...
    They say Monsoon will arrive one week late this time...when in fact it has already arrived a week back!
    All Nonsense fellows.
    Should learn from the UK and US Met departments...they hardly go wrong!

    DisAgree [6] Agree [24] Reply Report Abuse


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