By Antony Cony D'Souza, Karkala/Qatar
Mangaluru,Nov 8: With US polls yo-yoing and persistence game theories swirling on both sides of the political spectrum, until election results are declared none can predict who will be the winner, but at times Chinese think, animals can. Shiyanhu Ecological Tourism Park in China’s Hunan province has a monkey called Geda known as ‘king of prophets’. It is a mystical monkey with prophetic insight - one with an impressive record correctly predicting winners of European soccer matches.
Geda, whose name means “goose bumps”, cast his vote by selecting bananas beside life-size cut outs of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton.
“After ‘deliberate thought,’ the mystic monkey chose Trump, Shiyanhu Ecological Tourism Park said on Thursday,” according to AFP. “Without even waiting, he congratulated the cardboard candidate with a kiss on the lips.”
When the whole world is favouring a certain win for Hillary, Geda gave a consolation prize; a much needed moral boost to Trump.
Secondly, a professor who’s predicted 30 years of presidential elections correctly is doubling down on a Trump win. Professor Allan Lichtman, author of "The Keys to the White House," explains why his keys still point to a Democratic loss in the 2016 presidential election – and a Donald Trump victory.
If one is not familiar with his somewhat unique prediction system, here are the basics: The keys to the White House, he says, are a set of 13 true/false statements. If six of them are false, the incumbent party loses the presidency. His system has correctly predicted the winner of the popular vote in every US presidential election since 1984. He now predicts Democratic loss and a Trump win. Lichtman said “The 13 keys are a historically based prediction system that were founded on the study of every presidential election from 1860 to 1980, and I’ve since used them prospectively to predict, often well ahead of time, the results of all eight elections from 1984 to 2012. The keys basically assess the strength and performance of the party holding the White House.
Donald Trump’s severe and unprecedented problems bragging about sexual assault and then having ten or more women coming out and saying, “Yes, that’s exactly what you did” this is without precedent. “But it didn’t change a system key of prediction. By the narrowest of possible margins, the keys still point to a Trump victory”.
Poll day - November 8: Who will win?
There are no more days to go, so what is the state of race on the final day? As per various polls, The Democrat's lead continues to grow - Washington Post/ABC poll. All in all, she still has the upper hand, but this election is far from decided.
In the IBD/TPP poll, Trump is back leading Hillary by one point.
None of the polls, of course, have taken into account of how voters will react to the FBI clearing Clinton of criminality on the latest batch of emails.
Religious Breakdown:
Trump is Up 20 Points among Catholics In New IBD/TIPP Poll.
Christians overall support Donald Trump a whole lot more than Hillary Clinton. Catholics prefer him by twenty points (54-34). Protestants, meanwhile, like him a bit more (56-34).
Telfon Trump versus Calcified Clinton
Trump is like a washing stone as nothing sticks to him. More the clothes are washed (conversation in the videos about groping women, rumour about mocking the disable, demonizing immigrants and minorities, accusation by opposition avoiding taxes etc,) more the stone has managed to shine, cutting the edge of lead drastically ultimately resulting in a neck to neck fight. If it was any other leader, he or she would have ended up right there.
On the contrary, everything sticks to Hillary. Charges of endangering national security, allegations of corruption, rumours of marital compromises etc, have affected her, with little regard for her well-chronicled record of public service. Let us watch whether such sticking deprives her being elected as President.
First 100 days action plan as President
Imagine for a moment that it's Jan. 21, 2017. After a chilly inauguration the day before, the parades and festivities will have ended. And the new president of the United States is ready for his or her first day of work.
Donald Trump’s first 100 day action plan seems horrific days of a Trump presidency expecting a trade war with China and Mexico, a restarting of Iran’s nuclear programme, millions losing their health insurance, the start of mass deportations, a possible military standoff with China in the South China Sea and North Korea. Although almost half of Americans prefer Trump to be the next President but not his first 100 days of action plan. This is a clear dilemma they carry on themselves. Trump has instilled fear which is not a good thing for the world economy or nor for its subjects. If he confronts with the world, world will confront him too.
Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, has her own road map for the first 100 days if she winds up in the White House.
"We're not going to build a giant wall," Clinton said. "We're going to build roads and bridges and tunnels and ports and airports and water systems and a new electric grid." Clinton told supporters in Johnstown, Pa, over the summer she will also pursue immigration reform and big new investments in clean power.
"She was a fairly successful legislator," recalled former Rep. Tom Davis, R-Va. "And her husband was just very good at working with a Republican Congress. She's got that in her background. But remember, the world has changed since that time."
Wars Mongers?:
Who has started the most wars ? Democrat or Republican Presidents? . There are wrong opinions that Republicans are war mongers and democrats are for Peace. The ratio is just opposite while 5 to Democrats and 2 to Republicans who started wars since World War I:
World War I: Woodrow Wilson, Democrat
World War II: Franklin D. Roosevelt, Democrat
Korean war (1950-54): Harry S. Truman, Democrat
Vietnam War: Lyndon B. Johnson, Democrat
Bosnia, Kosovo and Iraq: Bill Clinton, Democrat
Persian Gulf War, George HW Bush, Republican
Afghanistan and Iraq, George W. Bush, Republican
Trump or Clinton? - Consensus in New Delhi
Clinton enjoys a good rampant among the sections of Indian-American community, business community and especially younger generation. Undoubtedly, she enjoys the advantage of knowing India far better than her Republican rival Trump. But it is also true that Trump’s recent efforts to attract the Indian-American community have paid off.
With an eye on garnering votes from the Indian-American community, Donald Trump has made many comments about India and its people during the last leg of his election campaign. Trump has described Modi as a “great man”, at the same time stating that he is a “great fan of the Hindus”.
Trump wants to attract the attention of the Indian-American community with Hindu nationalist rhetoric. By strongly condemning the Uri terrorist attack, he has sent a message that under his administration, the US would talk tough with Pakistan on the issue of cross-border terrorism.
The Indian government and strategists appear less concerned about who wins than they have been in the past. So far, neither India’s ruling Bharathiya Janata Party nor Prime Minister Modi has taken any stand on the US election.
There’s a general consensus among experts and strategists in India that irrespective of which candidate wins the election, New Delhi and Washington must continue to work together on making their ties even closer. US recent rampant with India is a very much encouraging sign recounting our hardliner neighbours. Let us all Indians wish both Trump and Hillary Good Luck.