PM's advisory council member questions IMF, World Bank growth outlook


New Delhi, Oct 11 (PTI): Noted economist and member of the Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister (EAC-PM) Rathin Roy today dismissed lowering of India's growth projections by the IMF and the World Bank, saying they often go 'wrong'.

While the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has lowered India's growth forecast for the current fiscal by 0.5 percentage points to 6.7 per cent, the World Bank has pegged economic expansion at 7 per cent, down from 7.2 per cent projected earlier.

The Asian Development Bank too lowered India's current fiscal growth to 7 per cent from 7.4 per cent, while RBI cut economic growth forecast to 6.7 per cent from earlier projection of 7.3 per cent.

"IMF's growth projections are 80 per cent wrong...World Bank's growth projections are 65 per cent wrong," he said in a media interaction when asked to comment on lowering of growth projections by international multilateral lending agencies. While the council has been dismissive of projections of multi-lateral lending agencies, the government does not miss an opportunity to tom-tom improvement in ease of doing business ranking by World Bank and other such improvement in indices.

Roy, who is also director of economic think tank NIPFP, however, said the council will examine causes of slowdown.

India's economic growth slipped to a three-year low of 5.7 per cent in the first quarter of the current fiscal.

Replying queries at the same media interaction, Niti Aayog member and Chairman of the Council Bibek Debroy said "whether we like it or not we don't have good data on employment".

"In a country like India, you cannot get good data on employment and jobs from enterprise surveys. The labour bureau enterprise surveys covers less than 1.5 per cent of total employment," Debroy said.

Noting that we can get data on unemployment and employment in India is through household surveys, he said the last NSSO household survey was out in 2011-12 and the next results of NSSO household surveys will not be available till 2018.

  

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Comment on this article

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Thu, Oct 12 2017

    2019 is nearing & not a single promise delivered.
    These guys are all cracking up ...

    DisAgree [1] Agree [11] Reply Report Abuse

  • Mangalurian, Mangaluru

    Thu, Oct 12 2017

    If we look at Rathin Roy's resume, he is a "Member" of abut 25 (Twenty Five) committees.

    When someone is a member of just three committees, the person has no time to think about the world outside those three committees.

    How on earth does a person, with membership of 25 committees, gets time to even think about his breakfast, let alone the impending disaster in India?

    India has been sustained by the informal sector since centuries. The economy of villages all over India - whether people are occupied in subsistence farming, trades, or petty shops - is founded and sustained in the informal sector.

    With the demonetisation and other BJP-nomic experiments the informal sector has been dealt a severe blow.

    The Yale visitors have lost the plot very badly. There is no chance they will win another election!

    DisAgree Agree [9] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Thu, Oct 12 2017

    Goli Mar Beje Mein ...

    DisAgree [1] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • Alwyn, Mangalore

    Thu, Oct 12 2017

    India is grown in Saffron terrorism through attacking in the name of a COW!!!, Religion concept, Gender issue, and Black Magic!!!!

    What IMF and World Bank say's is correct, there is no money in Reserve Bank as well as in Central Government. Pretty soon Modi will pass a constitutional amendment saying that " the Only Cow must have three times meals and all others must have one meal to recover our economy".

    DisAgree Agree [6] Reply Report Abuse

  • A. S. Mathew, U.S.

    Thu, Oct 12 2017

    Ignore IMF and World Bank's prediction about the GDP of India. The only authoritative prediction is from the Economic trio " Modi-Amith Shaw-Arun Jaitly". They will be nominated for the Nobel Prize of " Revolutionary Economic Engineering", which is a new field of Economics emerged from the BJP rule of India.

    DisAgree Agree [4] Reply Report Abuse

  • prem, moodbidri

    Thu, Oct 12 2017

    IMF, World Bank are anti-nationals.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [9] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Wed, Oct 11 2017

    Chaiwalla is bigger than IMF & World Bank ...

    DisAgree [1] Agree [10] Reply Report Abuse

  • leslie, udupi

    Wed, Oct 11 2017

    So jaa bachhon so jaa...
    Nahin to Gabbar aa jaayega...
    This is what is left to be said by the Govt...

    Second emergency may be on cards...

    DisAgree [1] Agree [20] Reply Report Abuse

  • prem, moodbidri

    Wed, Oct 11 2017

    "DeMo and GST disrupted India's growth": World Bank

    NaMo has become disaster for India's growing economy!

    DisAgree [1] Agree [32] Reply Report Abuse

  • Ravi C, Mangalore

    Wed, Oct 11 2017

    Till now is somehow ok.. But this is toooo much.

    DisAgree Agree [32] Reply Report Abuse

  • S.F.H, Indian

    Wed, Oct 11 2017

    All are wrong ...only chowkidaar is right

    DisAgree Agree [34] Reply Report Abuse

  • Amith, USA

    Wed, Oct 11 2017

    Bro. Not only Chow-kidar but all Chaddis who are belongs to Juumla Gang!!!!

    DisAgree Agree [29] Reply Report Abuse

  • HENRY MISQUITH, Bahrain

    Wed, Oct 11 2017

    Modi saab should write a book "how to make people fool 1000 times"

    Our south Indian idli works more than finance minister Jaitley!!

    DisAgree Agree [38] Reply Report Abuse

  • HENRY MISQUITH, Bahrain

    Wed, Oct 11 2017

    BJP is now exposed. Silent Sardar was way better for at least he never lied. And not to mention the Silent Sadar took great decision for the Indian economy that worked. Petrol prices are an example. Middle class and senior citizens are the main sufferers in this present regime. I appreciate remarks made by Yashwant Sinha right, and well matured person than Arun Jaitley

    DisAgree Agree [33] Reply Report Abuse

  • Rathan, Mangalore

    Thu, Oct 12 2017

    So at last you agree that sing was maun during his time and allowed
    all scams.now new "Mally's ticket gate " is added attraction
    of MMS tenure
    Due to all the scams of 2004 to 2014 Indian economy suffered a lot and it needs decade to bring it on line

    DisAgree [11] Agree Reply Report Abuse

  • Joseph F. Gonsalves, Bannur, Puttur / Mangalore

    Thu, Oct 12 2017

    From 2014-2017 within three years, congress built economy is sweeped across the country into the dust bin.

    MINDLESS DEMONETIZATION AND HURRIEDLY CARRIED OUT G.S.T ARE THE MAIN REASONS FOR THE COLLAPSE OF INDIAN ECONOMY WHICH ARE THE BIGGEST SCAMS OF THE CENTURY.

    CONGRESS BUILT THE ECONOMY FROM 2005-2014 WITH UTMOST VIGOR AND CARE.

    NOW THIS GOVERNMENT HAS ONLY ONE CHOICE EITHER TAKE GOLD TO BRITAIN AND LEND MONEY FROMM BRITAIN OR UTILIZE TEMPLE GOLD.

    TROUBLED CITIZENS CURSE BE ON BJP FOR THEIR SELFISH RULE.

    THEY HAVE ONLY ONE INTEREST TO RESCUE THE COWS AND NOT THE HUMANS.

    DisAgree Agree [14] Reply Report Abuse


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