RBI warned noteban's short-term impact, no effect on black money


New Delhi, Mar 11(PTI): The RBI board, which included the present Governor Shaktikanta Das as a director, had warned of the short-term negative impact of demonetisation on the country's economic growth and observed that the unprecedented move will not have any material impact on tackling the black money menace.

The board, according to minutes of the meeting revealed by the central bank in an RTI reply, had met just two-and-a-half hours before Prime Minister Narendra Modi in an address to the nation announced the demonetisation decision on November 8, 2016.

Curbing black money was one of the prime objectives of the shock move to junk old Rs 500 and 1,000 notes, which saw 86 per cent of high-value currency going out of circulation.

The minutes of the crucial board meeting, which approved the government's request for demonetisation, recorded the presence of the then RBI Governor Urjit Patel and the then economic Affairs Secretary Shaktikanta Das.

Others at the board meeting included the then Financial Services Secretary Anjuli Chib Duggal, and RBI deputy governors R Gandhi and S S Mundra. Both Gandhi and Mundra are not part of the board now, while Das was appointed as the RBI governor in December 2018.

"It is a commendable measure but will have a short-term negative effect on GDP for the current year," as per the minutes posted by RTI activist Venkatesh Nayak on the website of Commonwealth Human Rights Initiative. "Most of the black money is held not in the form of cash but in the form of real sector assets such as gold or real estate and that this move would not have a material impact on those assets," the board observed in its 561st meeting held in Delhi.

The Prime Minister had announced demonetisation of high-value currency notes with the aim to curb the black money, check counterfeit currency and stop terror finance among others.

While any incidence of counterfeiting is a concern, the minutes said, Rs 400 crore as a percentage of the total quantum of currency in circulation in the country is not very significant.

Of the Rs 15.41 lakh crore worth Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 notes in circulation on November 8, 2016, notes worth Rs 15.31 lakh crore came back during the 50-day window for depositing junk notes given to resident Indians and till June 2017 for non-resident Indians.

Only Rs 10,720 crore of the junked currency notes did not return to the banking system, rest 99.9 per cent was deposited raising a question mark over the government's effort of curbing black money through the demonetisation.

The minutes pointed out that "the growth rate of economy mentioned is the real rate while the growth in currency in circulation is nominal. Adjusted for inflation, the difference may not be so stark. Hence, this argument does not adequately support the recommendation (in favour of demonetisation)".

The government has always maintained that the decision did not have much impact on the GDP growth. The board was assured that the government would take mitigating measures to contain the use of cash, it said.

In another reply, the RBI has said it has no data on the old 500 and 1,000 rupee notes used to pay for utility bills such as fuel at petrol pumps – payments that are anonymous and are believed to have formed a good part of the demonetised currency that returned to the banking system.

The government had allowed the exchange of the junked notes as well as they being used for payment of utility bills for 23 services.

Both old 500 and 1,000 rupee notes could be used at government hospitals, railway ticketing, public transport, airline ticketing at airports, milk booths, crematoria/burial grounds, petrol pumps, metro rail tickets, purchase of medicines on doctor prescription from the government and private pharmacies, LPG gas cylinders, railway catering, electricity and water bills, ASI monument entry tickets and highway toll.

On November 25, 2016, the exchange of old notes was stopped and the government allowed the use of only old 500 rupee notes at these utilities till December 15, 2016.

The government, however, stopped the use of even this currency at petrol pumps and for the purchase of air tickets at airports abruptly with effect from December 2, 2016, after reports that they were becoming fronts for laundering of old currency notes.

  

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Comment on this article

  • RAVOOF, Jeddah

    Tue, Mar 12 2019

    #comeback raghuram rajan. We need you as finance minister.

    DisAgree Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • Alfria, Mumbai/Mangalore

    Tue, Mar 12 2019

    Now what has joot-ley to say, defended his boss during demonitisation, talking lies on television.

    DisAgree Agree [1] Reply Report Abuse

  • SmR, Karkala

    Mon, Mar 11 2019

    The New RBI Governor Das's educational qualification is MA (History). Hope and Pray he doesn't make RBI also a History.
    This is the second straight year that the RBI has announced an advance payment to Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government gives Rs. 28,000 Crore interim Dividend to Government before elections.
    The government needs cash after allocating Rs. 20,000 crore towards the first installment of the $10.5 billion programs by March 31. The cash support -- handing about 12 crore farmers with up to 2 hectares (4.9 acres) three payments of Rs. 2,000 per year -- was PM Modi's last attempt at reversing fortunes after his Bharatiya Janata Party which lost control of three key states in regional elections in December.
    In approving the measure, the RBI is emulating Turkey's central bank that came to the aid of its government before municipal elections in March seen as a referendum on President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's rule. The RBI dividend will help PM Modi's government partly bridge a budget gap and could be key to funding an income support programme for farmers.
    Crony capitalist who fund BJP's campaign loot public sector bank and escape India with loot. Then RBI uses taxpayers money to recover the losses.

    RBI has become Modi's cash cow.
    Jai Hind

    DisAgree Agree [1] Reply Report Abuse

  • Charles D'Mello, Pangala

    Mon, Mar 11 2019

    Only Modi said demonetization is for curbing black money....!!!!??? Before he did he made sure all the BJP party and his friends like Adani, Ambani's money has reached safe destination....!!!!!?????

    DisAgree [1] Agree [21] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jennifer, Mangalore

    Mon, Mar 11 2019

    I hope tomorrow this news about DeMo won't be reversed, as it happened with Rafale papers 'stolen' (no, there were photocopied) - I wonder where the originals were !

    DisAgree Agree [17] Reply Report Abuse

  • David Pais, Mangalore

    Mon, Mar 11 2019

    terrorists money is choked from demonetisation & pulwama terrorists attacks from terrorists.

    DisAgree Agree [13] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jennifer, Mangalore

    Mon, Mar 11 2019

    My God, note the likes for criticizing DeMo !!!

    It shows the actual dislike for Modi govt !!!

    Results of 2019 elections is going to be a shocker for Modi of-course if tampering of EVMs won't take place !!

    DisAgree [1] Agree [21] Reply Report Abuse

  • geoffrey, hat hill

    Mon, Mar 11 2019

    Before India, countries like Nigeria, Ghana, Pakistan, Zimbabwe and Myanmar had tried Demonetization and had ruined their economies. Our leader instead of learning from their mistakes, listened to the half baked advice of guys like S Gurumurthy who incidentally is the editor Tamil magazine 'Tuglak' and Demonetization is very much similar to the disastrous monetary experiment conducted by the 14th century Delhi Sulthan Mohammed bin Tuglak. Modi, instead of learning from Tuglak's blunder, appears to have inspired!

    DisAgree [1] Agree [35] Reply Report Abuse

  • El En Tea, Mumbai

    Mon, Mar 11 2019

    Where is URJIT PATEL
    where he flown with the demonitized issue.

    DisAgree Agree [33] Reply Report Abuse

  • Raghavendra M Kra, Mumbai Maharashtra

    Mon, Mar 11 2019

    one by one all the wrong steps of this government will comes out now after election date is declared. wait for more how modi government systematically ruined the economy of this country, how he allowed the bankruptcy people to run away from the country, how defended amit shah sons scam of note bundi i, how much kick backs he received in refale defense deal and while giving contracts to ambani, adhanis.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [36] Reply Report Abuse

  • Deva, Pilar

    Mon, Mar 11 2019

    The Boss is not always right but he's always Boss... in this case until 2019 General Election..

    DisAgree [2] Agree [23] Reply Report Abuse

  • Kishore Pai, Mangalore

    Mon, Mar 11 2019

    Just before Demonitisation move PM Modi said "Burn Me Alive If Demonitisation Is Not a Wise Decision". Modi will be victim of his own words in June 2019 and will be walking into fire without his knowledge.. Every word he spoke was fake and contradicted by RBI now. India is in extreme chaos and misery under BJP rule.

    DisAgree [3] Agree [45] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Mon, Mar 11 2019

    Wait for 2 Months ...

    DisAgree [2] Agree [32] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Mon, Mar 11 2019

    We simply lost an Educated & Genuine Raghuram Govind Rajan ...

    DisAgree [1] Agree [53] Reply Report Abuse

  • Raghuram R, Chicago, Illinois

    Mon, Mar 11 2019

    he will be back as the Finance Minister once Congress gets to power

    DisAgree [2] Agree [34] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Mon, Mar 11 2019

    Raghuram will save us from Disaster ...

    DisAgree [1] Agree [18] Reply Report Abuse


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Title: RBI warned noteban's short-term impact, no effect on black money



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