Udupi: Lok Sabha Bypoll – Will Congress Snatch the Initiative?


Udupi: Lok Sabha Bypoll – Will Congress Snatch the Initiative?

Daijiworld Media Network – Udupi (SP)

Udupi, Feb 18: Bypoll for Udupi-Chikmagalur Lok Sabha constituency is only a month away. As winning from here has become a prestige issue for the BJP and former MP-turned-chief minister D V Sadananda Gowda, it is expected that BJP will try its best to repeat its earlier performances.

It may be recalled that BJP candidates Manorama Madhwaraj and D V Sadananda Gowda had come out victorious from this constituency in 2004 and 2009 respectively. However, margin of victory in 2009 had shrunk to just 27,018 because of the rising popularity of Congress candidate, K Jayaprakash Hegde. During that election, BJP could not find an able candidate locally, and had to import and field D V Sadananda Gowda from Mangalore.

The announcement about holding election for this Lok Sabha constituency on March 18 has given rise to speculations, as no one is sure about the respective standing of the parties now, because of some strange developments, which took place recently. While BJP, which is again faced with the dearth of a widely accepted leader, is likely to settle down for the candidature of Sunil Kumar, former MLA from Karkala, Congress camp is buoyant about the chances of its likely candidate K Jayaprakash Hegde, taking heart from his impressive performance in the last election.

After the sudden resignation of D V Sadananda Gowda from his Lok Sabha membership, the constituency has seen many awkward developments. Controversy over permission granted for a rave party in St Mary’s Island, departure of three ministers relating to watching of porn video clips on mobile phones when assembly was in session, and death of leader of high stature from here, Dr V S Acharya, have delivered big blows to BJP, and caused erosion of its image. While some feel that sympathy wave relating to the death of Dr Acharya might prove beneficial for the BJP, there are many who do not feel so.

It is almost sure that the winning candidate will be either from BJP or Congress. Although JD(S) state president H D Kumaraswamy has announced that his party will field a candidate this time, what effect this move will have on the final outcome remains a mystery. Both the parties have held consultations at the grass root level and held meetings of leaders and activists to elicit their opinions. While BJP has said it will reveal the name of its candidate in a couple of days, district Congress president Gopal Poojary said that his party will make this announcement at Bangalore on February 22.

Although former MP Vinay Kumar Sorake, former Chikmagalur MP D K Taradevi, and former MLA B L Shankar are in the race, it is learnt that Jayaprakash Hegde has received overwhelming support in most of the meetings. Hegde continues to have good rapport with the party activists and voters alike even after his defeat last time, and this is working in his favour, it is analyzed. The confidence of Congress has swelled this time because of Hegde’s popularity particularly in Chikmagalur belt.

In the JD(S), its district president Deviprasad Shetty is the only person having widespread popularity in the district with a chance of giving some semblance of fight to the other candidates. JD(S) has kept its move under wraps, and while its chances of winning the election are almost zero, presence of its candidate can eat into the chances of other candidates, based on who will be fielded.

There is no doubt that BJP will take on this by-election with all its might, as the party is in need to retain the constituency, because of the fact that it was held earlier by the CM. At the same time, Congress smells a good chance of wresting this seat, because of the dented image of BJP. The image of Congress too has received a beating on account of scams and scandals at the centre. However, one feels that Congress leaders can improve the chances of their party, if they stop infighting, blabber and lethargy, and work at the grass-root level instead of delivering speeches, to motivate the activists to take up the initiative and work hard for the party candidate.

 

  

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Comment on this article

  • C-Shenoy, Kundapura

    Mon, Feb 27 2012

    @ Dr S Karanth
    You are starting with "Elections in India are generally contested on the basis of Image of the Party than that of the Candidate"... may be true for the extent and even I confused with the concluding statement regarding Udupi& Chikamagalore...Don’t you think it is totally contradictory statement?
    We supported BJP earlier to give them opportunity/bring the change… This time definitely NOT!! To be frank, while looking at our state government image “PERSON WHO HAS LITTLE COMMONSENSE WILL NOT VOTE BJP” without any bias!!

    DisAgree [1] Agree [1] Reply Report Abuse

  • Suresh , Manipal/ Bahrain

    Wed, Feb 22 2012

    In the interest of devolopments in Udupi we should vote BJP. Because BJP is in power in Karnataka & CM is ex MP from udupi constituency. if BJP MP wins deffinetly its easy to get support from the state govt for the development of the udupi constituency. ( because there is no more Dr. V S Acharya who use to use his influence in the state govt for the developments in UDUPI/ CHIKMAGALORE constituency.

    DisAgree [5] Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • Lancelot N Tauro, Manglore - Doha Qatar

    Sun, Feb 19 2012

    No Doubt its national party CONGRESS. voters are more educated then communals.

    DisAgree [14] Agree [13] Reply Report Abuse

  • M.Shetty, Kundapur

    Sat, Feb 18 2012

    Yes, Jayaprakash Hegde is the best bet for Congi,but BJP will be winner at any cost, any candidate at Udupi-Chickmagalru, For BJP Sunil or Dr.Kiran Acharya is the best choice.

    DisAgree [19] Agree [20] Reply Report Abuse

  • praveen, Udupi

    Sat, Feb 18 2012

    I expect J P Hedge to win by a margin of 20000 votes if he is a candidate from the congress.

    DisAgree [17] Agree [38] Reply Report Abuse

  • Ravi Hemmady, Barkur, muscat.

    Sat, Feb 18 2012

    Once again election drama will be there, at present situation from congress best candidate is Mr.Jayaprakash Hegde, from Bjp it should be from Sunil Kumar, then there will be tough fight. this time there will be little edge with congress.

    DisAgree [6] Agree [23] Reply Report Abuse

  • ISMAIL.K.PERINJE, PERINJE-YANBU/KSA

    Sat, Feb 18 2012

    Congress has edge over BJP under the situation if Hegde contests....Those who vote for BJP this time around will be SANGH PARIVARS only.I think people of Twin Districts are matured enough to go against BJP because of their consistent follies...

    DisAgree [35] Agree [58] Reply Report Abuse

  • subhas shetty, Kuradi , Dubai

    Sat, Feb 18 2012

    This time JP Hegde will win by large margin , No chance for BJP this time and also in future in UDUPI.Best of luck J.P Hegde.

    DisAgree [34] Agree [59] Reply Report Abuse

  • Louis, Kuwait

    Sat, Feb 18 2012

    Jaya Prakash Hegde is a respectful person admired by all casts n communities. Udupi - Chickmanglore is a new constituency and DVS ruled for 4 yrs doing nothing. Hegde was MLA for Brahmavar constituency which has been cancelled n merged into Kota n Udupi constituencies. Hegde is a secular man. When Janatha Dal  got devided he left JD n won twice as independent n he defeated both congress n BJP in the past, People of Brahmavar are so much fond of him bcz of his impartial developmental works. 

    Hegde never got an opportunity from Udupi he deserve chance this time. Last time Chick Manglore people were not awre of Hegde n he lost by narrow margin to DVS.  Since last two occasion public forced him to compete in election as we know his abilitys. Let BJP field any candidate, this time they cannot beat Hegde? Any one ready to accept challenge? Past MP's Oscar or Sorake did nothing for Udupi MP constituency they won bcz of congres trend in the past. Now BJP has flopped in Karnataka. Udupi n D. K. Voters are educated n brilliant. They will teach lesson to porn party BJP. Hegde has ability to be the chief Minister of Karnataka he is educated n can handle any port folio at centre. We will have one more minister at Delhi by March end. God bless him for what he doing now n what he did in the past and what he is going to do in future. He is of the people by the people n for the people. He believes in democracy.

    DisAgree [32] Agree [66] Reply Report Abuse

  • Pradeep, M'lore

    Sat, Feb 18 2012

    It will be probably a easy win for BJP than expected. Congress atleast in this election have very little chance. Reasons are :

    1. The seat was held by BJP & vacated by DVS who is now the CM of Karnatka. Hence a 'feel good' factor that their MP is elevated to the post of CM of the state will make the people again vote in favor of BJP.

    2. BJP also has a sympathy factor this time which gives the party an edge over Congress. The death of Dr. VS Acharya has created a sympathy wave in favor of BJP. Though he was not the sitting MP of the Constituency, most people in Udupi district will likly vote for BJP as a mark of respect for their departed leader.

    DisAgree [54] Agree [42] Reply Report Abuse

  • SAHIL AHMED, MANGLORE

    Sat, Feb 18 2012

    PEOPLE HAVE TO WAKE UP...PLEASE CHOOSE THE RIGHT CANDIDATE...

    DisAgree [7] Agree [54] Reply Report Abuse

  • Dr S Kamath , Mumbai

    Sat, Feb 18 2012

    Elections in India are generally contested on the basis of Image of the Party than that of the Candidate .Unless the Candidate is so famous and popular .This Udupi constituency had created History at the national Level when Very Popular Ex Minister T A Pai was defeted by First timer Oscar Fernandes just because of the Popularity of Indira Gandhi Congress .But now the time has changed people have started leaning towards the BJP thanks to the influence of TV ,Internet Media and Highest Level of Education in this Udupi region .As rightly pointed out Chikmagalur being a little backward in development may give some leverage for Congress

    DisAgree [22] Agree [37] Reply Report Abuse

  • mahendra shetty, mumbai,Mangalore

    Sat, Feb 18 2012

    Jayaprakash Hegde is a good candidate for Congress...But BJP will win comfortably due to non performance of previous congress leaders especially Oscar saab...Oscar was did only chamchagiri in Janpath and did nothing for the constituency....in DK BJP is very strong.....

    DisAgree [29] Agree [93] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sandesh Shetty, Bangalore/Kudla

    Sat, Feb 18 2012

    Kota Srinivas Poojary would be best candidate for MP from BJP in the coming Udupi/chickmagalur bypoll elections.

    DisAgree [65] Agree [24] Reply Report Abuse


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