The more and more financial markets are opened up to retail traders, the more popular technical analysis tools become to traders in their quest to make better decisions. Among these numerous tools, the so-called Relative Strength Index, or RSI indicator, is probably among the most popular ones used, particularly while swing trading stocks.
Understanding the Role of RSI in Stock Trading
RSI is a momentum oscillator; it measures the speed and change of price movements and is measured between 0 and 100. Invented by J. Welles Wilder in 1978, RSI can help in determining if a market is overbought or oversold, thereby indicating the market position one can take. Normally, a stock is considered overbought if the RSI value is above 70 and oversold if the value is below 30.
Today, the RSI is a tool a swing trader cannot afford to pass. Swing trading involves holding positions for several days or weeks to realize expected price movements. The RSI ideally supports traders to be able to identify their entry points, that is, when to enter into a particular trade.
The Rise of Swing Trading in Stock Markets
Over recent years, swing trading stocks have gained rapid popularity among the retail segment of traders, most of whom want to ride on short- to medium-term price movements without having to bother themselves with constantly watching their trades. Fresh data released from Statista and documented recently in the commission's report shows that the retail investor group presently accounts for over 20% of the total stock market trading volume, up from 10% just five years back.
This has largely been driven by the free availability of the RSI indicator on online trading platforms and other tools.
Quite often, swing traders will rely on technical indicators such as RSI to help identify opportunities when the market is possibly near a reversal to exploit these short-term price moves. In the current day, platforms are available for easy charting applications and real-time data, making these kinds of strategies much easier to develop and take up for a retail trader.
Impact of Market Volatility on Trading Strategies
Market volatility has always been a factor in determining a trader's strategy and in the year 2024, it is no different. The global economy today is in a state of uncertainties, from falling inflation rates to geo-political tensions, fostering erratic market moves. The importance of technical analysis tools, like the RSI indicator, lies in defining entry and exit points for these traders in such surcharged environments.
With the RSI, swing traders would hardly find it possible to trade without such a tool since the stock market volatility worldwide has surged 15% in this past year, according to the data of the World Bank. Usually, the traders would just adjust their strategies during high volatility by shortening the holding period, on top of using a tighter stop loss since RSI can give them an early signal of the trend reversal or price correction.
RSI and Other Technical Indicators in Combination
Although the RSI indicator is excellent by itself, most operators like to use it along with other tools of a technical nature to enhance the trade's accuracy. For example, combining RSI with moving averages or Bollinger Bands pinpoints stronger signals either to enter the market or leave it. The subjective idea is to use several indicators to confirm the validity of the possibility of a trade.
This year, a Bloomberg survey reported that 65% of traders use more than two technical indicators in their analytics, of which one is the RSI. This underpins the need for a multi-faceted approach to trading since no one indicator can give the whole picture.
The Role of Online Trading Platforms in Empowering Retail Traders
Advanced charting tools, access to real-time market data and a host of technical indicators, such as the RSI indicator, have been made available. This is in addition to the other technological advances that have made facilitating accessibility to the stock markets easier than ever. The boost by mobile trading apps democratizes access to financial markets, nudging traders to move synonymous with managing their portfolios.
Retail trading activity across African markets soared by 25% in 2023, all thanks to mobile trading platforms, according to a report by the African Securities Exchanges Association. The trend is likely to roll over into 2024, with more platforms utilizing state-of-the-art technology to improve the user experience with additional features such as advanced risk management tools and real-time analytics.
The Future of Stock Trading: AI and Automated Trading Systems
Going forward, the neo-stock trading future of 2024 and beyond will be inspired by advancements in AI and automated trading systems. AI-driven trading algorithms of today are finding their way into retail trading platforms where empowered by these platforms, traders can automate strategies driven by indicators such as RSI and moving averages. This, in turn, should reduce emotional trading and improve the decision-making for many retail investors, thus, better results in the long run.
A report by Deloitte back in 2023 noted that, with AI-driven trading systems growing at an astonishing 18% every year, more retail traders are harnessing these advanced tools to improve their trading strategies. For instance, some trading platforms are bringing in AI-powered alerts that can be triggered when the RSI crosses critical levels, allowing the trader to take immediate action even if they are away from the market.
Conclusion: The Importance of Technical Indicators in Modern Trading
Technical indicators, RSI included, are going to keep being a huge part of stock trading strategy drivers both in the present and in the future, with financial markets evolving. Retail traders, more so those in the business of swing trading stocks, are increasingly turning to such tools to help them maneuver through turbulent markets and make better, well-informed trading decisions.
Going forward, with the trend of rising retail participation and more advanced technologies, including AI, stock trading has even more in store for traders armed with the right tool arsenal. Knowing and using most of these will be fundamental to success in the stock market despite the need to enter or develop a strategy within it.