Daijiworld Media Network
New Delhi, Sep 18: Though there is a general feeling that an anti-incumbency wave is sweeping across the national capital, an exclusive survey made by Hindustan Times and C-Fore agency reveals that Sheila Dikshit is still a popular choice for Delhi CM and Congress could win the Delhi election by just managing to cross the half-way the mark, if the elections are held now.
In 2008, Congress had 40% share of votes, followed by BJP 36% and BSP 14% and others 10%. The current trend shows that Congress could get 36%, followed by BJP 32%, Arvind Kejriwal's AAP 22% and BSP 7%.
Similarly, out of the 70 seats, Congress could win between 32-37 seats, BJP 23- 27, Aam Aadmi Party 7-12 and BSP and others 2-4 seats.
For the main opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), the Delhi elections may just be a repeat of the 2008 Assembly polls when the party managed only 24 seats despite a heavy anti-incumbency wave against the Congress.
The BJP’s inability to project a strong chief ministerial candidate and infighting among its top leadership in the city unit are likely to pose problems. The survey predicts 22 to 27 seats for the saffron party this time.
Political analysts say, AAP's presence in Delhi could cause more damage to BJP than the Congress, as 54% of the voters said they would have favoured BJP if AAP had not been there.
However, this survey was conducted just before the announcement of Narendra Modi as BJP's prime ministerial candidate.