GDP growth slows to 7.1% in FY17; demonetisation not factored


New Delhi, Jan 6 (PTI): Country's GDP growth is estimated to slow down to 7.1 per cent in current fiscal, from 7.6 per cent in 2015-16, mainly due to slump in manufacturing, mining and construction sectors, the government data showed today without factoring in 'volatile' post-demonetisation figures.

Releasing the data compiled by the Central Statistics Office (CSO), Chief Statistician T C A Anant said the figures for November were available and examined but "it was felt in view of the policy of denotification of notes there is a high degree of volatility in theses figures and conscious decision was taken not make projection using the November figure".

Accordingly, the 'First Advance Estimates of National Income, 2016-17' did not reflect the impact of demonetisation, effected on November 9 for ban of old Rs 500/1,000 notes, and are based on sectoral data for only seven months or till October.

Real GDP or Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at constant (2011-12) prices in the year 2016-17 is likely to attain a level of Rs 121.55 lakh crore, as against the Provisional Estimate of GDP for the year 2015-16 of Rs 113.50 lakh crore, released May 31, 2016.

"The growth in GDP during 2016-17 is estimated at 7.1 per cent as compared to the growth rate of 7.6 per cent in 2015- 16," the CSO said. The CSO projections on national income are now in line with the Reserve Bank's estimates, which too has lowered the GDP growth prospects to 7.1 per cent. "Anticipated growth of real GVA at basic prices in 2016-17 is 7 per cent against 7.2 per cent in 2015-16," the CSO said.

In value terms, the Gross Value Added (GVA) at constant prices is anticipated to increase from Rs 104.27 lakh crore in 2015-16 to Rs 111.53 lakh crore in 2016-17.

As per the data, performance of the all sectors, excluding 'agriculture' and 'public administration, defence and other services'. 'Agriculture, forestry and fishing' is expected to expand by 4.1 per cent in 2016-17 from 1.2 per cent.

On the other hand, mining and quarrying is likely to shrink by 1.8 per cent after recording a growth a 7.4 per cent in 2015-16.

Growth in manufacturing is expected to slow to 7.4 per cent (from 9.3 per cent) and construction activities to 2.9 per cent (from 3.9 per cent).

As per the data, the per capita net national income (current prices) during 2016-17 is estimated to be Rs 1,03,007 showing a rise of 10.4 per cent as compared to Rs 93,293 during 2015-16 with the growth rate of 7.4 percent.

  

Top Stories

Comment on this article

  • Vincent Rodrigues., Frazer Town,Bangalore

    Sat, Jan 07 2017

    So many lost employment and factories are closed and some are partially working because of demonetisation effecting the Indian economy badly

    DisAgree Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • Krishna Dasa, Udupi

    Sat, Jan 07 2017

    It is impossible to calculate GDP in the absence of actual circulated currency (Money) and destroyed Rupees notes of 500 and 1000. Government is making it's Citizens Feku & dumb

    DisAgree [3] Agree [31] Reply Report Abuse

  • Alwyn Crasta, Mangalore/Bangalore

    Fri, Jan 06 2017

    With the frequent dishing out of doctored data, we really do not know where India's economy is heading towards.

    The frequent shifts in fiscal and monetary policies could, in the long run, do more harm than good. Let's see how things play out.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [24] Reply Report Abuse

  • Santan Mascarenhas, Kinnigoli/Mumbai

    Fri, Jan 06 2017

    This forecast of economic growth is 3 year low. The negative impact of demonetization is yet to be captured and taken into account.
    I think, in the ensuing budget, the govt will bring monetary and fiscal policies that will support growth.

    DisAgree [4] Agree [21] Reply Report Abuse

  • David Pais., Mangalore

    Fri, Jan 06 2017

    any indian trusts fake 7.1 gdp figure except bhakts? it is 5.0

    DisAgree [4] Agree [42] Reply Report Abuse

  • A. S. Mathew, U.S.

    Fri, Jan 06 2017

    Dr. Venkiah Naidu, the official economy doctor and the spokesperson of the Government said that demonetization was a vaccine. Many vaccines have killed people and the demonetization vaccination will be killing many things in India. Rs. 6.44 trillion has been disappeared from circulation along with the failed consumer confidence in a Government issuing 60 regulations in 50 days will be adding extra whirlwind to the sagging economy of India. Modi-Amith Shaw-Venkiah Naidu-Arun Jaitly economic clique will be watching the writing on the wall.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [39] Reply Report Abuse

  • Dr Mohan Prabhu, LL.D.,QC, mangalore/ottawa

    Sat, Jan 07 2017

    Mr Mathew,
    You are right up to a point. But many more vaccines have saved people's lives.

    DisAgree [23] Agree [3] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Fri, Jan 06 2017

    We should consider ourselves lucky even if we reach 5.2% ...

    DisAgree [5] Agree [42] Reply Report Abuse


Leave a Comment

Title: GDP growth slows to 7.1% in FY17; demonetisation not factored



You have 2000 characters left.

Disclaimer:

Please write your correct name and email address. Kindly do not post any personal, abusive, defamatory, infringing, obscene, indecent, discriminatory or unlawful or similar comments. Daijiworld.com will not be responsible for any defamatory message posted under this article.

Please note that sending false messages to insult, defame, intimidate, mislead or deceive people or to intentionally cause public disorder is punishable under law. It is obligatory on Daijiworld to provide the IP address and other details of senders of such comments, to the authority concerned upon request.

Hence, sending offensive comments using daijiworld will be purely at your own risk, and in no way will Daijiworld.com be held responsible.