Crisil cuts India's FY 2020 GDP growth forecast to 6.3%


New Delhi, Sep 5 (IANS): Ratings agency Crisil on Wednesday said it has revised downwards its India GDP growth forecast for fiscal 2020 to 6.3 per cent from an earlier estimated rate of 6.9 per cent.

Just a week back, a plunge in domestic private consumption demand, slump in manufacturing, halving of merchandise exports growth, and a high-base effect from last year gnawed away at first-quarter growth which came in at 5 per cent.

Fiscal 2020's first quarter GDP growth estimate at 5 per cent was the slowest in 25 quarters.

According to the agency, the 6.3 per cent GDP growth rate is under the assumption that the second quarter will see some mild pick-up in growth, which continues through the year.

"We expect growth to get some lift from the low base effect that will now set in (second half fiscal 2019 GDP growth was at 6.2 per cent)," the agency said.

"An easing monetary policy, improved transmission of rate cuts, and the government's minimum income support scheme to farmers would also feed into consumption. The recently announced steps by the Finance Minister will also address some pain points and support sentiment."

  

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Title: Crisil cuts India's FY 2020 GDP growth forecast to 6.3%



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