IndiaEs inflation uncomfortably high: Moody's Analytics


New Delhi, Mar 30 (IANS): IndiaEs inflation trend is uncomfortably high which will restrict the Reserve Bank's ability to offer further rate cuts, Moody's Analytics said.

In a note, Moody's Analytics cited that retail inflation has held above the Reserve Bank's 4 percent target for the past eight months.

Accordingly, IndiaEs core CPI excluding food, fuel and light was up 5.6 percent in February, from 5.3 percent in January.

On an overall basis, IndiaEs CPI rose to 5 percent YoY in February from 4.1 percent in January.

Food and beverage price growth gained 4.3 percent from 2.7 percent in January.

"Food is a key driver of inflation, representing 46 percent of the CPI basket.

"Volatile food prices and rising oil prices led IndiaEs CPI to exceed the upper band of 6 percent several times in 2020, inhibiting the RBIEs ability to keep accommodative monetary settings in place during the height of the pandemic."

As per the note, higher fuel prices will keep upward pressure on headline CPI and keep the RBI from offering further rate cuts.

"The RBI has a target for retail inflation of 4 percent with a margin of 2 percent either side."

"The RBI is expected to retain its current inflation-targeting band beyond its current expiry date of 31 March. The government is reportedly mulling small amendments including increasing flexibility in exceptional times."

  

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Comment on this article

  • Roshan, Mangaluru

    Tue, Mar 30 2021

    In next 03 years growth can only be expected in share market indices rather than actual growth anywhere in Industry or in services. The flood of IPO's are clear indicators. Modi led BJP having chocked the banks already, retaining the FD interest low pushing the middle class whatever the small savings they struggle to save for their kids, gets invested in the stock market. There is no alternative saving option at all that gives guaranteed and secured income with reasonable returns. Stock market once starts getting investment from the middle class, then it is easy to play around. If money sinks it is middle class, which only knows how to curse self and fate, but don't see where they are getting into. Those loses can not quantified as anger against governance, it will be on self. That is politics.

    DisAgree Agree [2] Reply Report Abuse

  • Aravind Shetty, Mangalore/Riyadh

    Tue, Mar 30 2021

    Moody's is anti national. How dare they tell the world this? who the hell are they to underestimate of our great Mod's 5 trillion economy.

    DisAgree [1] Agree [1] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jossey Saldanha, Mumbai

    Tue, Mar 30 2021

    Senseless hike in Petrol & Diesel is the cause of Inflation ...

    DisAgree Agree [6] Reply Report Abuse

  • Sanjeev Kamath, Udupi

    Tue, Mar 30 2021

    Rahul will be THE best to solve it.

    DisAgree Agree [6] Reply Report Abuse


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