World Bank praises Narendra Modi government, projects 7.3 percent growth for India in 2018


Washington, Jan 10 (PTI): With an "ambitious government undertaking comprehensive reforms", India has "enormous growth potential" compared to other emerging economies, the World Bank said on Tuesday, as it projected country's growth rate to 7.3 per cent in 2018 and 7.5 for the next two years.

India, despite initial setbacks from demonetisation and Goods and Services Tax (GST), is estimated to have grown at 6.7 per cent in 2017, according to the 2018 Global Economics Prospect released by the World Bank here.

"In all likelihood India is going to register higher growth rate than other major emerging market economies in the next decade. So, I wouldn't focus on the short-term numbers. I would look at the big picture for India and big picture is telling us that it has enormous potential," Ayhan Kose, Director, Development Prospects Group, World Bank, told PTI in an interview.

He said in comparison with China, which is slowing, the World Bank is expecting India to gradually accelerate.

"The growth numbers of the past three years were very healthy," Kose, author of the report, said.

In 2017, China grew at 6.8 per cent, 0.1 per cent more than that of India, while in 2018, its growth rate is projected at 6.4 per cent. And in the next two years, the country's growth rate will drop marginally to 6.3 and 6.2 per cent, respectively.

To materialise its potential, India, Kose said, needs to take steps to boost investment prospects.

There are measures underway to do in terms of non- performing loans and productivity, he said.

"On the productivity side, India has enormous potential with respect to secondary education completion rate. All in all, improved labor market reforms, education and health reforms as well as relaxing investment bottleneck will help improve India's prospects," Kose said.

Noting that India has a favourable demographic profile, he said it is rarely seen in other economies.

"In that context, improving female labour force participation rate is going to be important. Female labour force participation still remains low relative to other emerging market economies. Bringing force right now idle outside of the productive activities will make a huge difference," he said.

Reducing youth unemployment is critical, and pushing for private investment, where problems are already well-known like bank assets quality issues...If these are done, India can reach its potential easily and exceed, Kose asserted.

"In fact, we expect India to do better than its potential in 2018 and move forward," he said.

India's growth potential, he said, would be around 7 per cent for the next 10 years.

The Indian government is "very serious" with GST being a major turning point and banking recapitalisation programme is really important, Kose said.

"The Indian government has already recognise some of these problems and undertaking measures and willing to see the outcomes of these measures," he said.

"India is a very large economy. It has a huge potential. At the same time, it has its own challenges. This government is very much aware of these challenges and is showing just doing its best in terms of dealing with them," the World Bank official said.

The latest World Bank growth estimate for 2017 is 0.5 per cent, less than the previous projection, and 0.2 per cent less in the next two years.

"It is slightly lower than its previous forecast, primarily because India is undertaking major reforms," Kose said.

These reforms, of course, will bring certain policy uncertainty, he said, "but the big issue about India, when you look at India's growth potential and our numbers down the road 2019 and 2020, is that it is going to be the fastest growing large emerging market."

"India has an ambitious government undertaking comprehensive reforms. GST is a major reform to have harmonised taxes, is one nation one market one tax concept. Then, of course, the late 2016 demonetisation reform was there. The government is well aware of these short-term implications," Kose said.

He said there might have been some temporary disruptions but "all in all" the Indian economy has done well.

"The potential growth rate of the Indian economy is very healthy to 7 per cent. I think the growth is going to be at a high rate going forward," the World Bank official said.

The big question is whether Indian policymakers would, under the necessary reforms, push its potential growth up, Kose said.

"So far we have seen ambitious policy initiatives and implementation like GST. And we have all the reasons to expect this government to continue economic policies to create friendly environment for businesses and push its growth potential up," he said.

In a South Asia regional press release, the World Bank said India is estimated to grow 6.7 per cent in fiscal year 2017-18, slightly down from the 7.1 per cent of the previous fiscal year.

This is due in part to the effects of the introduction of the Goods and Services Tax, but also to protracted balance sheet weaknesses, including corporate debt burdens and non- performing loans in the banking sector, weighing down private investment, it said.

  

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Comment on this article

  • Nishar Ahmed, Mangalore / Kuwait

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    200 MILLION PEOPLE STARVING.
    SMALL BUSINESS DESTROYED,
    DEMONETISATION, GST MADE LIFE MISERABLE.
    MIDDLE CLASS IN TROUBLE,
    JOB CREATION - ALL TIME DOWN.
    INDIA GROWING - WOW

    DisAgree [2] Agree [1] Reply Report Abuse

  • Suvarna, Pumpwell/Marine Drive

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    World Bank can tell anything to benefit the world big powers. They know India a big market and they need to praise, let whatever the situation inside.
    Indians should admit and show categorically that there is development. Where is the change in People lifestyle in India?? Instead of rising, in many ways it has become standstill. Middle Income group is totally on back foot. Indians should show that there is development. World Body must have analysed based on the talks alone and not the results.

    DisAgree [2] Agree [1] Reply Report Abuse

  • moshu, mangaluru

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    #Increase in #petrol_price for ur kind notice.
    01/December/2017-Rs.67.71
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    #Good_tec

    DisAgree [10] Agree [15] Reply Report Abuse

  • Amith, USA

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    LOOT THE COMMON PEOPLE AND INCREASE YOYR GROWTH RATE!!!!! WORLD'S OTHER CHADDIS ARE ALSO WITH YOU!!!!!

    DisAgree [3] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • mahesh, Mangalore

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    My god, even world bank has been bought by Modi?
    Mirchitime.

    DisAgree [8] Agree [21] Reply Report Abuse

  • moshu, mangaluru

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    Koi zara batayen ye daal, aata, sabzi, petrol aur diesel ke bhaav kab kum honewala hai. Common man doesnt bother about all these achievements. Eazy livelyhood matters for them.
    we all know the fact that USA has a monopoly over World Bank which they make the move according to the strategy of their foregn policy.

    Here they made the move by appeasing India tk grab the 500million defence deal which India cancelled with Isreal last week. Public sab jaanthi hai..

    DisAgree [11] Agree [12] Reply Report Abuse

  • NAGESH NAYAK, MANGALORE

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    IS IT WORLD BANK OR WHOLE BHAKT.

    DisAgree [11] Agree [13] Reply Report Abuse

  • NAGESH NAYAK, MANGALORE

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    AMERICAS GROWTH RATE IS JUST 1.6%. WITHOUT PRAISING IT MAY BECOME ZERO.

    INDIA IS FAR BETTER THAN AMERICA IN GROWTH RATE.

    BUT STILL AMERICA DONT GIVE VISA ON ARRIVAL FOR INDIANS.

    DisAgree [4] Agree [19] Reply Report Abuse

  • NAGESH NAYAK, MANGALORE

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    WITHOUT ANY OPTION WORLD BANK HAS TO PRAISE.

    BECAUSE THEY GET COMMISSION WHEN WE SWIPE VISA OR MASTERCARD.

    THEY KNOW IF WE STOP USING VISA MASTERCARD AMERICAN EXPRESS THEY WILL BE ON DEBT.

    VISA AND MASTERCARD AMERICAN EXPRESS BELONGS TO USA.

    WORLDBANK WILL BE ON DEBT.

    DisAgree [10] Agree [27] Reply Report Abuse

  • Amith, USA

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    100 % CORRECT OBSERVATIONS!!!!

    DisAgree [1] Agree [5] Reply Report Abuse

  • Arun Thingalaya, Muscat / Hejmady Kodi

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    Really feeling proud to be an Indian on this great achievement!!!

    DisAgree [17] Agree [22] Reply Report Abuse

  • Vincent Rodrigues, Bengaluru/Katapadi

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    World Bank ratings seems to be window dressing and match fixing by the present government to misguide the voters

    DisAgree [21] Agree [23] Reply Report Abuse

  • Amith, USA

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    CHADDIS got Chaddi reason to Celebrate & Dance by their Chaddi Friends!!!!!!

    DisAgree [22] Agree [26] Reply Report Abuse

  • AHMED, ALHASSA KAUP

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    DONT ASK CONGRESS BUSINESS MAN ASK BJP BUSINESS MAN THEY SAY THE REAL STORY TOTAL INDIAN ECONOMY STOP AFTER CURRENCY BAN.IT PULLED WHOLE INDIAN ECONOMY 20 YEARS BACK.IT MADE HUNDRED AND THOUSANDS OF PEOPLE TO LOSE THEIR EMPLOYMENTS.

    DisAgree [16] Agree [19] Reply Report Abuse

  • dominic-dsouza-Rudy, mudarangady mauritius

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    sabke saath india ka vikas

    DisAgree [8] Agree [20] Reply Report Abuse

  • Suman, Mangalore

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    "World bank is RSS affiliated institution " : Pappu and his fans

    DisAgree [22] Agree [24] Reply Report Abuse

  • HENRY MiSQUITH, Bahrain

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    World bank is a bakth now.

    DisAgree [11] Agree [32] Reply Report Abuse

  • Antonio DSilva, Kuwait

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    Suman, Mangalore

    If you had read the article in its entirety you might have realized that there is no guaranteed 7.3 percent growth for India in 2018, it's projected; same as saying 50% oysters on the ocean bed have pearls, whether the 50% oysters yield pearls is yet another thing.

    There is yet another statement from the same Ayhan Kose, Director, Development Prospects Group, World Bank in the same article which you need to understand:
    "India is a very large economy. It has a huge potential. At the same time, it has its own challenges. This government is very much aware of these challenges and is showing just doing its best in terms of dealing with them," the World Bank official said.

    Have a nice day; be an Indian rather than a blind bhakt!

    DisAgree [11] Agree [17] Reply Report Abuse

  • Anees, Dubai

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    Match fix with World Bank Staff another 10 year for such announcement.

    DisAgree [16] Agree [21] Reply Report Abuse

  • dominic-dsouza-Rudy, mudarangady mauritius

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    sabke saath sabka vikas

    DisAgree [6] Agree [27] Reply Report Abuse

  • Declan, Mumbai

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    Kitna paisa diya ?

    DisAgree [24] Agree [34] Reply Report Abuse

  • Jaimini P.B., Manipal,Sharjah

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    Kindly send this article to Pappu who spoke very badly against present status of India to NRIs in Bahrain ...(CC to Chiddu, Siddu, Kharge,Mamta,Mewani)....

    DisAgree [47] Agree [27] Reply Report Abuse

  • Reshmi Salian, Mangalore

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    Jaimini...don't be a andh bakth. Indian economy is sc......d by Jaitley. He cannot handle it. Poor and Middle class people are suffering. Those big businesses with political connections are prospering. Best examples Jay Shah, Adani, Ambani and many more. Look at the condition of small traders. Anyways, how you can be aware as you don't follow Indian economy.

    DisAgree [21] Agree [15] Reply Report Abuse

  • geoffrey, hat hill

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    You are conveniently forgetting Harvard prof Subramanian Swamy in you cc list.

    DisAgree [5] Agree [8] Reply Report Abuse

  • Hedda, Pilar

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    Self generated news & report from RSS headquarter in Pune.

    DisAgree [22] Agree [39] Reply Report Abuse

  • sri_elder, Karkala

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    Sickulars have tough time going ahead..
    Burnol making brilliant profit...

    DisAgree [31] Agree [23] Reply Report Abuse

  • Ramesh S, MANGALORE

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    ..before celebrating just wait for our informal Indian FM Yashwant sinhas forecast alogn with asst Shatrugna sinha..By the way, above is bad news as far as Congress president Rahul foreign tour is concerned..who will listen to his Indian economy in danger rant..

    DisAgree [13] Agree [20] Reply Report Abuse

  • Joseph F. Gonsalves, Bannur, Puttur / Mangalore

    Wed, Jan 10 2018

    Last time world bank gave 7.00 G.D.P and the NAGPUR PRESS RELEASED 6.5 G.D.P.

    THIS GDP IS

    GOLMAL DONGI PRODUCTION.

    ALL NEWS COMES OUT ARE FROM PAID NEWS.

    THANKS TO RAHUL GANDHI, NOW PEOPLE HAVE COME OUT FROM CBI, AND ED SCARECROWS AND OPENLY CRITICISE CHAAIWAALA'S ECONOMICAL AND COMICAL MISDEEDS.

    DisAgree [17] Agree [25] Reply Report Abuse


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Title: World Bank praises Narendra Modi government, projects 7.3 percent growth for India in 2018



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